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income growth will be divided between inflation and output growth, as well as "velocity" constraints that influence the path …-equation approach to the econometric problem of predicting how changes in nominal GNP growth will be divided between inflation and real … GNP growth. The results from the equation estimated through 1980 are used to examine the behavior of inflation during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477878
these ideas by looking at the effect of central bank independence on inflation. The evidence is consistent with the notion … that central bank reforms have reduced inflation in societies with intermediate constraints and have had no or little … with the seesaw effect, in countries where central bank reforms reduce inflation, government expenditure tends to increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464613
, which involves a commitment to higher future inflation. This commitment mechanism works even though, realistically, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468011
This paper argues, first, that it is inappropriate to presume that central banks will, in the absence of any tangible precommitment technology, inevitably behave in a `discretionary' fashion that implies an inflationary bias. Furthermore, there is no necessary tradeoff between `flexibility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473251
average rates of money creation (or inflation) and policy responsiveness to cyclical disturbances, it is entirely feasible for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473814
Modern theory has delivered both the conservative central banker and the principal-agent approaches as rationales for … shows not only that greater independence is associated with lower inflation, but also that the central bank's rights not to … finance the government and to set interest rates independently increase its effectiveness. The role of inflation targeting and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473825
A central bank is insolvent if its plans imply a Ponzi scheme on reserves so the price level becomes infinity. If the central bank enjoys fiscal support, in the form of a dividend rule that pays out net income every period, including when it is negative, it can never become insolvent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457441
Japan suffered a very high inflation rate in 1973-74. The CPI inflation rate rose to near 30% in 1974, the highest rate …, the oil crisis is blamed for the 1973-74 high inflation. However, due to monetary policy decisions in 1972-73, the … inflation rate had already exceeded 10% before the onset of the oil crisis in October 1973. These decisions include the interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462925
We present a simple long-run aggregate demand and supply framework for evaluating long-run inflation. The framework …-run inflation as well as transitions between steady states. We use the analysis to provide a fresh perspective on the forces that … drove global inflation downward over the past four decades. We argue that for inflation to remain low and stable in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528348
This paper presents market-based evidence that President Trump influences expectations about monetary policy. We use tick-by-tick fed funds futures data and a collection of Trump tweets criticizing the conduct of monetary policy and consistently advocating that the Fed lower interest rates....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480253