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This paper asks whether inflation targeting improves economic performance, as measured by the behavior of inflation, output, and interest rates. We compare seven OECD countries that adopted inflation targeting in the early 1990s to thirteen that did not. After the early 90s, performance improved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469122
We use the limited participation model of money as a laboratory for studying the operating characteristics of Taylor rules for setting the rate of interest. Rules are evaluated according to their ability to protect the economy from bad outcomes such as the burst of inflation observed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471783
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462667
loss of credibility is found. Second, the frequency with which the world economy experiences economic and financial crises …In this paper we provide empirical measures of central bank credibility and augment these with historical narratives … their role in influencing the credibility of the monetary authority. We focus on measures of inflation expectations, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457842
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics … for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a … pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold standard before 1914 before being lost and not fully regained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457973
distortion, e.g., underutilization of capacity and real exchange rate misalignment. However, while under imperfect credibility … by imperfect credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465476
. Inflation targets may on average be exceeded, and they may have imperfect credibility, but they may usefully reduce inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473624
to remedy the problems; and draws some general conclusions. The two main current problems are the lack of credibility of … the target and the significant risk that the target will be missed. The reasons for the lack of credibility include the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473913
A simple test of inflation target credibility is constructed by subtracting the maximum and minimum inflation rates …, fall outside the range of target- consistent real yields, credibility is rejected. Two concepts of credibility, called … absolute credibility and credibility in expectation, are distinguished. The inflation targets of Canada, New Zealand and Sweden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474336
, after the fact. Publication of the interest-rate path also allows the evaluation of its credibility and the effectiveness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463265