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loss of credibility is found. Second, the frequency with which the world economy experiences economic and financial crises …In this paper we provide empirical measures of central bank credibility and augment these with historical narratives … their role in influencing the credibility of the monetary authority. We focus on measures of inflation expectations, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457842
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics … for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a … pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold standard before 1914 before being lost and not fully regained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457973
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462667
distortion, e.g., underutilization of capacity and real exchange rate misalignment. However, while under imperfect credibility … by imperfect credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465476
Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central banks' deliberations sorely missed in the past. At least in today's inherited monetary policymaking context, however, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469742
to remedy the problems; and draws some general conclusions. The two main current problems are the lack of credibility of … the target and the significant risk that the target will be missed. The reasons for the lack of credibility include the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473913
, after the fact. Publication of the interest-rate path also allows the evaluation of its credibility and the effectiveness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463265
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466260
We analyze the degree to which the growing importance of sovereign wealth funds [SWFs] and the diffusion of inflation targeting and augmented Taylor rules have impacted the post crisis adjustment of Latin American Countries (LATAM) to the challenges associated with terms of trade and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458019
We use the limited participation model of money as a laboratory for studying the operating characteristics of Taylor rules for setting the rate of interest. Rules are evaluated according to their ability to protect the economy from bad outcomes such as the burst of inflation observed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471783