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In his seminal 1960 article Robert Mundell proposed a model of balance-of-payments crises in which confidence in the continuation of a currency peg depended on the observed holdings of central bank foreign reserves. We examine the implications of a reformulation of this view from the perspective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471756
An econometric portfolio balance model of an open economy, incorporating exchange rate, price, and current account dynamics, is derived and estimated.The usual stability conditions do not guarantee a unique rational expectations solution, and several proposals for resolving this situation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477508
This paper, written as a chapter for a Handbook of International Economics, reviews developments in the theory of … of exchange rate theory, starting with the monetary approach to exchange rate determination. Issues discussed in this … framework that views the question of exchange rate determination as part of the general theory of the determination of asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477808
The collapse of a fixed exchange rate is typically marked by a sudden balance-of-payments crisis in which"speculators" fleeing from the domestic currency acquire a large portion of the central bank's foreign exchange holdings.Faced with such an attack, the central bank often withdraws...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477999
expansion appears to be the source of Kuska's erroneous indictment of "Keynesian" balance-of-payments theory.We also establish …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478073
This paper develops a dynamic partial equilibrium model of the foreign exchange market extending the standard textbook model in two respects. First, capital account transactions are explicitly incorporated into the model, and secondly, 'rational' speculative behaviour is also introduced. At a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478477
The paper uses disaggregated data on asset holdings and liabilities to estimate a general equilibrium model where each institution determines the diversification and size of the asset and liability sides of its balance-sheet. The model endogenously generates two types of financial networks: (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455110
The purpose of this study is to identify conditions under which renewed international. lending will benefit both the developed and the developing countries. Our analysis will evaluate how the presence of terms of trade adjust-rent and distorted credit markets affect the conditions for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476484
At the onset of the COVID-19 economic crisis, as in other crisis episodes, the flight to safety was accompanied by a rapid appreciation of "safe haven" currencies. We quantify currency-induced balance sheet effects for total external positions as well as for individual asset classes using new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629497
The decade from 1985 to 1995 was an unprecedented period of declining barriers to global trade. The reform wave was especially pronounced in developing countries where overvalued currencies were eliminated, quantitative import restrictions dismantled, and import tariffs reduced. What accounts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191068