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The historical returns on equity index options are well known to be strikingly negative. That is typically explained either by investors having convex marginal utility over stock returns (e.g. crash/variance aversion) or by intermediaries demanding a premium for hedging risk. This paper examines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436964
This paper develops a dynamic programming model of the optimal refunding strategy and the corresponding value of a callable bond. The model differs from previous work on this subject primarily in that it explicitly admits the possibility of differences between the issuer's expectations of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478918
Widespread violations of stochastic dominance by one-month S&P 500 index call options over 1986-2006 imply that a trader can improve expected utility by engaging in a zero-net-cost trade net of transaction costs and bid-ask spread. Although pre-crash option prices conform to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464103
We model the demand-pressure effect on prices when options cannot be perfectly hedged. The model shows that demand pressure in one option contract increases its price by an amount proportional to the variance of the unhedgeable part of the option. Similarly, the demand pressure increases the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466828
Investors in option markets price in a substantial collective government bailout guarantee in the financial sector, which puts a floor on the equity value of the financial sector as a whole, but not on the value of the individual firms. The guarantee makes put options on the financial sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461509
We document that the implied volatility skew of S&P 500 index puts is non-decreasing in the disaster index and risk …-the-money puts, thereby steepening the implied volatility skew and resolving the puzzle. Consistent with the data, the model also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457506
bond returns, while neither, like implied volatility, predicts put returns. These opposite predictability results are … consistent with a stochastic volatility, stochastic jump intensity model, as put premia increase in volatility but decrease in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585425
The optimal portfolio of a utility-maximizing investor trading in the S&P 500 index and cash, subject to proportional transaction costs, becomes stochastically dominated when overlaid with a zero-net-cost portfolio of S&P 500 options bought at their ask and written at their bid price in most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454974
uncertainty. The results dictate the role of uncertainty and volatility in structural models and we show they are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480268
.i.d. process. Below, however, we use the insight of Bansal and Yaron (2004) to demonstrate that the 'volatility smirk' can be … investigated) is whether one can explain within a standard preference framework the stark regime change in the volatility smirk … hence can explain why the volatility smirk has not diminished over the last eighteen years. We find that the model can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466810