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Fiscal Requirements for Price Stability
Woodford, Michael - 2001
This paper argues that maintaining price stability requires not only commitment to an appropriate monetary policy rule, but an appropriate fiscal policy rule as well. 'Ricardian equivalence' does not imply that fiscal policy is irrelevant, except in the case of a certain class of policies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470657
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The Stability and Growth Pact as an Impediment to Privatizing Social Security
Razin, Assaf - 2002
The aging of the population shakes the confidence in the economic viability of pay-as-you-go social security systems. We demonstrate how in a political-economy framework the shaken cofidence leads to the downsizing of the social security-system, and to the emergence of supplemental individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469430
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The Euro and the Stability Pact
Feldstein, Martin - 2005
This paper begins by discussing the inherent conflict between the simultaneous existence of a single currency for the countries of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and the independent fiscal policies of those countries. The Stability and Growth Pact was an attempt to reconcile that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467436
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Fiscal Policy and Monetary Integration in Europe
Gali, Jordi - 2003
A popular view among economists, policymakers, and the media, is that the Maastricht Treaty and then Stability and Growth Pact have significantly impaired the ability of EU governments to conduct a stabilizing fiscal policy and to provide an adequate level of public infrastructure. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468923
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Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts : Can Private Forecasts Help?
Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2016
Government forecasts of GDP growth and budget balances are generally more over-optimistic than private sector forecasts. When official forecasts are especially optimistic relative to private forecasts ex ante, they are more likely also to be over-optimistic relative to realizations ex post. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456327
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Shocks, Structures or Monetary Policies? The Euro Area and US After 2001
Christiano, Lawrence - 2007
The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates more vigorously in the recent recession than the European Central Bank did. By comparison with the Fed, the ECB followed a more measured course of action. We use an estimated dynamic general equilibrium model with financial frictions to show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465125
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Monetary Policy Issues for the Eurosystem
Svensson, Lars E.O. - 1999
The paper discusses the choice between inflation targeting and monetary targeting as a strategy for the Eurosystem, the actual strategy the Eurosystem announced in the fall of 1998, the framework for policy decisions appropriate for achieving the goals of the Eurosystem, the role of exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471610
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Do Balanced Budget Rules Work? U.S. Experience and Possible Lessons for the EMU
Inman, Robert P. - 1996
The `Excessive Deficit Procedure' of the Maastricht Treaty on Economic and Monetary Union proposes two fiscal convergence conditions for entry and continued membership in the EMU: 1) a country's overall budget deficit for each fiscal year must be equal to or below 3% of GDP, and 2) a country's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472990
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A Surplus of Ambition : Can Europe Rely on Large Primary Surpluses to Solve its Debt Problem?
Eichengreen, Barry - 2014
IMF forecasts and the EU's Fiscal Compact foresee Europe's heavily indebted countries running primary budget surpluses of as much as 5 percent of GDP for as long as 10 years in order to maintain debt sustainability and bring their debt/GDP ratios down to the Compact's 60 percent target. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458350
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Over-optimistic Official Forecasts in the Eurozone and Fiscal Rules
Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2012
. The members of the eurozone are supposedly constrained by the fiscal caps of the Stability and Growth Pact. Yet ever since …•Despite the well-known tendency of eurozone members to exceed the 3% cap on budget deficits, often in consecutive … among eurozone forecasts. If euro area governments are not in violation of the 3% cap at the time forecasts are made …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460377