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Macroeconomic news announcements are elaborate and multi-dimensional. We consider a framework in which jumps in asset prices around macroeconomic news and monetary policy announcements reflect both the response to observed surprises in headline numbers and latent factors, reflecting other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480669
This paper examines the correlated random coefficient model. It extends the analysis of Swamy (1971, 1974), who pioneered the uncorrelated random coefficient model in economics. We develop the properties of the correlated random coefficient model and derive a new representation of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462235
The optimal weights on indicators in models with partial information about the state of the economy and forward-looking variables are derived and interpreted, both for equilibria under discretion and under commitment. The private sector is assumed to have information about the state of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470469
The optimal weights on indicators in models with partial information about the state of the economy and forward-looking variables are derived and interpreted, both for equilibria under discretion and under commitment. An example of optimal monetary policy with a partially observable potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470783
This paper studies the pruned state-space system for higher-order approximations to the solutions of DSGE models. For second- and third-order approximations, we derive the statistical properties of this system and provide closed-form expressions for first and second unconditional moments and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459679
testing for PPP or LOOP, model specification and data sampling should not proceed without consideration of the actual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471192
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479048
We examine the Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005, 2008) model in several out-of-sample analyzes. The model's one-factor forecasting structure characterizes the term structures of additional currencies in samples ending in 2003. In post-2003 data one-factor structures again characterize each currency's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480743
first characterize the biases in both network statistics and estimates of network effects under non-random sampling …-classical measurement-error problems when applied as regressors. Apart from the sampling rate and the elicitation procedure, these biases … applied to network data collected via both designed and non-designed sampling procedures, does not require one to assume any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480921
We propose a new approach to modeling the cost of information structures in rational inattention problems, the "neighborhood-based" cost functions. These cost functions have two properties that we view as desirable: they summarize the results of a sequential evidence accumulation problem, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480967