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We present a novel empirical benchmark for analyzing credit risk using "pseudo firms" that purchase traded assets financed with equity and zero-coupon bonds. By no-arbitrage, pseudo bonds are equivalent to Treasuries minus put options on pseudo-firm assets. Empirically, like corporate spreads,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457890
This paper represents an extension and integration of recent empirical and theoretical research on default risk and taxability. The purpose of the paper is to develop and test a model of interest rate spreads which incorporates both the effect of taxes and differences in default probabilities in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477884
This paper studies the interaction between fundamental and liquidity for defaultable corporate bonds that are traded in an over-the-counter secondary market with search frictions. Bargaining with dealers determines a bond's endogenous liquidity, which depends on both the firm fundamental and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460252
We use yield spreads to construct ex-ante returns on corporate securities, and then use the ex-ante returns in asset pricing assets. Differently from the standard approach, our tests do not use ex-post average returns as a proxy for expected returns. We find that the market beta plays a much...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467360
Partisan perception affects the actions of professionals in the financial sector. Using a novel dataset linking credit rating analysts to party affiliations from voter records, we show that analysts who are not affiliated with the U.S. president's party downward-adjust corporate credit ratings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480943
We study the nature of sovereign credit risk using an extensive sample of CDS spreads for 26 developed and emerging-market countries. Sovereign credit spreads are surprisingly highly correlated, with just three principal components accounting for more than 50 percent of their variation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464982
Corporate credit lines are drawn more heavily when funding markets are more stressed. This covariance elevates expected bank funding costs. We show that credit supply is dampened by the associated debt-overhang cost to bank shareholders. Until 2022, this impact was reduced by linking the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226104
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014246457
consistent with economic theory. Forward interest rates also forecast future spot interest rates and future inflation. Thus, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466831
credit derivative spreads of Japanese banks. Although the Japan premium in the euro-dollar market seemed to have virtually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469110