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While major stock market indices are followed by large monetary investments, we document that membership decisions for the S&P 500 index have a nontrivial amount of discretion. We show that firms' purchases of S&P ratings appear to improve their chance of entering the index (but purchases of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660043
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has historically been the most quoted stock index in the United States. It has several unique features. It uses price weights, it ignores cash dividend payments, and it also treats stock dividends, rights issues, and other corporate actions inconsistently. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496081
Monthly stock returns from Smith and Cole [1935], Macaulay [1938] and Cowles [1939J are compared and contrasted with the returns to the CRSP value and equal-weighted portfolios of New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stocks. Daily stock returns from Dow Jones [1972] and Standard & Poor's [1986] are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476063
We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247914
accounting for sales variation across merchants, across stores within retail chains, and over time for individual merchants and … stores. Customers, as opposed to transactions per customer or dollar sales per transaction, consistently account for about 80 …% of sales variation. The top 1% of growing and shrinking merchants account for about 70% of customer and sales …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794589
We propose an approach to measuring the state of the economy via textual analysis of business news. From the full text of 800,000 Wall Street Journal articles for 1984-2017, we estimate a topic model that summarizes business news into interpretable topical themes and quantifies the proportion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660022
Measured as yield spreads against AAA corporate bonds, the convenience premium of agency MBS averages 47 basis points …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190993
We document that the convenience yield of U.S. Treasuries exhibits properties that are consistent with a hedging … perspective of safe assets. The convenience yield tends to be low when the covariance of Treasury returns with the aggregate stock … yield, the frictionless risk-free rate, and default risk reveals that the covariance between stock returns and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436994
Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305
Using a century of data, we show that Treasury convenience yield and inflation comove positively during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056207