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This paper determines the real effects of credible disinflation when price setting is staggered. The results are surprising: a fairly quick disinflation causes a boom. This finding suggests that nominal price rigidity alone does not explain why disinflation is costly in actual economies
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475491
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462667
distortion, e.g., underutilization of capacity and real exchange rate misalignment. However, while under imperfect credibility … by imperfect credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465476
This paper develops a model of inflation inertia based on optimizing forward looking staggered price setting in a small open economy. Unlike in current models of sticky prices, transitions to a lower steady state inflation rate take time even if they are fully credible, and they are associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469143
to remedy the problems; and draws some general conclusions. The two main current problems are the lack of credibility of … the target and the significant risk that the target will be missed. The reasons for the lack of credibility include the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473913
Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central banks' deliberations sorely missed in the past. At least in today's inherited monetary policymaking context, however, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469742
We use the limited participation model of money as a laboratory for studying the operating characteristics of Taylor rules for setting the rate of interest. Rules are evaluated according to their ability to protect the economy from bad outcomes such as the burst of inflation observed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471783
We define and study transparency, credibility, and reputation in a model where the central bank's characteristics are … unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more … inflationary policy than a high-credibility bank, in the sense that it induces higher inflation, but a less expansionary policy in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472353
This paper presents a theory of the real effects of disinflation. As in New Keynesian models, price adjustment is … staggered across firms, As in New Classical models, credibility is imperfect: the monetary authority may not complete a promised … disinflation. The combination of imperfect credibility and staggering yields more plausible results than either of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474997
outside these rate-of-return bands can be used as a simple test of exchange rate credibility, under the assumption of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475639