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are against China; India, in turn, is the largest source of initiation against China by number of actions. Here we explore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462211
Data on global trade as well as capital and labor flows indicate a slowdown, but not reversal, of globalization post the 2008-09 financial crisis. Yet profound changes in the policy environment and public sentiment in the largest economies over the past five years suggest the beginning of a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250133
Eastern European countries have experienced sharp declines in real GDP since 1990. One of the reasons for this decline is the Soviet trade shock, deriving from the collapse of the CMEA and of traditional export markets in the Soviet Union. This paper is an attempt to quantify the magnitude of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474863
After decades of rising global economic integration, the world economy is now fragmenting. To measure this phenomenon, we introduce an index of geopolitical fragmentation derived from various empirical indicators. This index is developed using a flexible dynamic factor model with time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576667
Research on the quantitative impact of interwar protection on trade flows remains scarce, and much of it has concluded that the impact was surprisingly small. In this paper we ask: Did Indian interwar protection hurt UK manufacturers, by raising tariffs on manufactured imports? Or did it favour...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481761
's technology gaps both with the U.S. and India between 1979 and 2008, comparing the technology level of these economies using a CES … India and the U.S. for the period before 2008. The pairwise gaps between the U.S. and China, and the U.S. and India remain … productivity than India over the period, the bilateral technology gap between China and India is still in India's favor. India had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457012
cycle. Finally, recent policy initiatives suggest that India is poised to replace China as the dominant periphery country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458214
We exploit the recent declassification of CIA documents and examine whether there is evidence of US power being used to influence countries' decisions regarding international trade. We measure US influence using a newly constructed annual panel of CIA interventions aimed at installing and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462672
We present an economic rationale for countries resorting to foreign influence to export their ideology to other nations. Our model incorporates two fundamental elements: redistribution of the tax burden between capital owners and workers, and international capital mobility. The model highlights...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322786
This study constructs a large new dataset to investigate whether state policy led to ethnic Ukrainians experiencing higher mortality during the 1932-33 Soviet Great Famine. All else equal, famine (excess) mortality rates were positively associated with ethnic Ukrainian population share across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599379