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The prevailing view in finance is that the evidence for long-horizon stock return predictability is significantly stronger than that for short horizons. We show that for persistent regressors, a characteristic of most of the predictive variables used in the literature, the estimators are almost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466830
reaction of monetary policy. When everyone engages in maturity transformation, authorities have little choice but facilitating … correlate their risk exposures. Second, private borrowers may deliberately choose to increase their interest-rate sensitivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463512
We estimate the risk and expected returns of private equity investments based on the market prices of exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463315
Rational models of risk-averse consumers have difficulty explaining limited annuity demand. We posit that consumers … evaluate annuity products using a narrow "investment frame" that focuses on risk and return, rather than a "consumption frame …, exhibiting high risk without high returns. Survey evidence supports this hypothesis: whereas 72 percent of respondents prefer a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464900
a key determinant of risk premia at all investment horizons. As the investment horizon increases, transitory risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465546
In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument … temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp information about the cross-country risk premium; countries closer to the … Equator carry a positive temperature risk premium which decreases as one moves farther away from the Equator. The differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461083
Recent work in international finance suggests that the forward premium puzzle can be accounted for if (1) aggregate uncertainty is time-varying, and (2) countries have heterogeneous exposures to a world aggregate shock. We embed these features in a standard two-country real business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461380
Fama and French (2002) estimate the equity premium using dividend growth rates to measure the expected rate of capital gain. We use similar methods to study the value premium. From 1941 to 2002, the expected HML return is on average 5.1% per annum, consisting of an expected-dividend-growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466485
of idiosyncratic passive variations in the risky asset share. Wealthy, educated investors with better diversified … portfolios tend to rebalance more actively. We find some evidence that households rebalance towards a higher risky share as they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464470
. Entrepreneurial activity is subject to a dynamic moral hazard problem and entrepreneurs face idiosyncratic capital risk. We first … risk, which determines their hedging value. Entrepreneurial capital always receives a subsidy relative to other assets in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466246