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closely with a depreciating yen, suggesting the countries' emphasis on export promotion. The Singapore dollar, on the other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473118
Singapore's experience with international capital flows over the past two decades or so has been a rather -- although … equities market, and operating on a Currency Board (CB) system (although with some differences from Singapore's CB system). The … discussion serves to identify some 'areas of vulnerability' in the Hong Kong set-up at that time. We next discuss Singapore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467314
We investigate the possibility that the large current account deficits of the U.S. are the outcome of optimizing behavior. We develop a simple long-run world equilibrium model in which the current account is determined by the expected discounted present value of its future share of world GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466750
This paper investigates empirically and attempts to identify the sources of real exchange rate fluctuations since the collapse of Bretton Woods. The paper's first two sections survey and extend earlier, non-structural empirical work on this subject by Campbell and Clarida (1987), Meese and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474278
This paper presents new empirical evidence on the effects of monetary policy shocks on U.S. exchange rates, both nominal and real. Three measures of monetary policy shocks are considered: orthogonalized shocks to the Federal Funds rate, the ratio of Non Borrowed to Total Reserves and the Romer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474691
Using panel structural VAR analysis and quarterly data from four industrialized countries, we document that an increase in government purchases leads to an expansion in output and private consumption, a deterioration in the trade balance, and a depreciation of the real exchange rate (i.e., a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465322
Macroeconomic consequences of a large currency depreciation among the crisis-hit Asian economies had varied from one country to another. Inflation did not soar in most Asian countries, including Thailand and Korea, after the exchange rate depreciated during the crisis. Indonesia, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466270
This paper proposes a new approach to identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks in an international vector autoregression. Using high-frequency data on the prices of Fed Funds futures contracts, we measure the impact of the surprise component of the FOMC-day Federal Reserve policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469038
We argue that the cointegrating relation between dividends and consumption, a measure of long run consumption risks, is a key determinant of risk premia at all investment horizons. As the investment horizon increases, transitory risks disappear, and the asset's beta is dominated by long run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465546
We develop an analytical solution to the dynamic portfolio choice problem of an investor with power utility defined over wealth at a finite horizon who faces an investment opportunity set with time-varying risk premia, real interest rates and inflation. The variation in investment opportunities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466654