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We test whether fund managers have stock-picking skill by comparing their holdings and trades prior to earnings announcements with the returns realized at those events. This approach largely avoids the joint-hypothesis problem with long-horizon studies of fund performance. Consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468033
We develop real-time proxies of retail corporate sales from multiple sources, including ~50 million mobile devices. These measures contain information from both the earnings quarter ("within quarter") and the period between that quarter's end and the earnings announcement date ("post quarter")....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456311
We propose and implement a new test of the dividend signaling hypothesis that is designed to discriminate between … dividend signaling and other theories that would account for the apparent existence of a dividend preference. Our test refines … the use of data on stock price responses to dividend announcements. In particular, we study the effect of dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474719
We examine abnormal stock returns surrounding contemporaneous earnings and dividend announcements in order to determine … interaction effect.The abnormal return corresponding to any earnings or dividend announcement depends upon the value of the other … more credence to unanticipated dividend increases or decreases when earnings are also above or below expectations, and vice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477849
This paper investigates the effects of capital gains and dividend taxes on excess returns around announcements of … dividend increases and ex-dividend days for U.S. corporations. Consistent with standard no-arbitrage conditions, we find that … the ex-dividend day premium increased from 2002 to 2004 when the dividend tax rate was cut. Consistent with the signalling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467227
noteworthy may have been the reduction in dividend tax rates. The political debate over the dividend tax reductions of 2003 took … probability of significant dividend tax reduction fluctuated significantly during 2003. In this paper, we use this fact to … estimate the effects of dividend tax policy on firm value. We find that firms with higher dividend yields benefited more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467230
An exclusive focus on bottom-line income misses important information about the quality of earnings. Accruals (the difference between accounting earnings and cash flow) are reliably, negatively associated with future stock returns. Earnings increases that are accompanied by high accruals,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470416
This paper employs a novel multi-country dataset of corporate defaults to develop a model of distress risk specific to emerging markets. The data suggest that global financial variables such as US interest rates and shifts in global liquidity and risk aversion have significant predictive power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481796
Measuring the private returns to R&D requires knowledge of its private depreciation or obsolescence rate, which is inherently variable and responds to competitive pressure. Nevertheless, most of the previous literature has used a constant depreciation rate to construct R&D capital stocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465175
Following a brief review of the U.S. domestic airline industry under regulation (1938-1978), we study the changes that have occurred in pricing, service, and competition in the 28 years since deregulation. We then examine some of the major public policy issues facing the industry: (a) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465197