Showing 1 - 10 of 1,163
This paper analyzes the quality of VAR-based procedures for estimating the response of the economy to a shock. We focus on two key issues. First, do VAR-based confidence intervals accurately reflect the actual degree of sampling uncertainty associated with impulse response functions? Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466312
investment-specific productivity. We document that in U.S. postwar quarterly data total factor productivity (TFP) and the … cointegrated if and only if neutral and investment-specific productivity share a common stochastic trend. We econometrically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462583
rates of total factor productivity in distinct consumption- and investment-goods-producing technologies. This model … attributes most of the productivity slowdown of the 1970s to the consumption-goods sector; it suggests that a slowdown in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465114
-open-economy real-business-cycle model driven by nonstationary productivity shocks. We find that the RBC model does a poor job at … business cycles in emerging markets and, importantly, assigns a negligible role to nonstationary productivity shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466032
Using data for the G7 countries, I estimate conditional correlations of employment and productivity, based on a …) technology shocks appear to induce a negative comovement between productivity and employment, counterbalanced by a positive … positive technology shock, and (c) measured productivity increases temporarily in response to a positive demand shock. More …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473117
This paper presents capital utilization corrected measures of technology shocks for aggregate and disaggregated (two digit Standard Industrial Classification code) industries. We correct for variations in capital utilization by employing industrial electrical use as a measure of capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473584
TFP, to news about future productivity or the long run, and to demand shocks of the New Keynesian type. Instead, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452846
We provide evidence on the relationship between aggregate uncertainty and the macroeconomy. Identifying uncertainty shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility are robustly followed by contractions, while shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453915
There are several candidate explanations for macro-fluctuations. Two of the most common discussed sources are surprise changes in disembodied technology and monetary innovations. Another popular explanation is found under the heading of a preference or more generally a demand shock. More...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454968
productivity sort across city sizes and select into exporting. The model allows us to study the geographic implications of trade … raises not only the aggregate productivity of the economy but also its aggregate export intensity, by allowing more firms to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482527