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We explore a hypothesis about the take-off in inflation that occurred in the early 1970s. According to the expectations … trap hypothesis, the Fed was pushed into producing the high inflation out of a fear of violating the public's inflation … expectations. We compare this hypothesis with the Phillips curve hypothesis, according to which the Fed produced the high inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470941
. Deflation subsided by 2005. As soon as inflation appeared to stabilize near a rate of zero, the Bank of Japan rapidly reduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463084
In 1936-37, the Federal Reserve doubled the reserve requirements imposed on member banks. Ever since, the question of whether the doubling of reserve requirements increased reserve demand and produced a contraction of money and credit, and thereby helped to cause the recession of 1937-1938, has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461969
We show how to construct optimal policy projections in Ramses, the Riksbank's open-economy medium-sized DSGE model for forecasting and policy analysis. Bayesian estimation of the parameters of the model indicates that they are relatively invariant to alternative policy assumptions and supports...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464553
, and inflation has subsided without causing a major fluctuation in output. This seems to be a successful case of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476175
Should central banks, because of the zero-lower-bound problem, raise their inflation-rate targets? Several arguments … are relevant. (1) In the absence of the ZLB, the optimal steady-state inflation rate, according to standard New Keynesian … currency is feasible (even arguably attractive) and would remove the ZLB constraint on policy. (5) Increasing target inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461653
reserves, and inflation are all important determinants of EM resilience …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528343
This paper examines the impact of the money supply and inflation rate announcements on interest rates. Survey data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477775
rates, and the shift in the response of the term structure of interest rates to inflation and output. Although the theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464961
We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking … measures of arginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471224