the firm's exposure to IST shocks and risk premia. Our calibrated model replicates: i) the predictability of returns by … returns by aggregate investment and valuation ratios; and v) a downward sloping term structure of risk premia for dividend …

Are fluctuations in firms' profitability risk a major cause of regular business cycles? We study this question within … such a model, surprise increases of risk lead to a wait-and-see policy for investment at the firm level and a decrease in … the size of firm-level risk fluctuations. We find that time-varying firm-level risk on its own is unlikely to be a major …

sources of risk, and allows us to study their interaction in determining the risk premia earned by the venture during … development. Our results show that the systematic risk, and the required risk premium, of the venture are highest early in its … life, and decrease as it approaches completion, despite the idiosyncratic nature of the technical risk …

This paper examines distortions in corporate investment decisions when a new project changes firm risk. It presents a … dynamic model in which a self-interested, risk-averse manager makes investment decisions at a levered firm. The model … factors in this decision are the expected changes in the values of future tax shields and bankruptcy costs when firm risk …

value (APV). The risk-free rate of interest must be after-tax. Debt capacity depends on the APV and target debt ratio for … the underlying asset, on the option delta and on the amount of risk-free borrowing or lending that would be needed for … follow the tradeoff theory of capital structure will be lower than target ratios for assets in place. Our results can …