Showing 1 - 10 of 1,106
We study optimal monetary policy during temporary supply contractions when aggregate demand has inertia and expansionary policy is constrained. In this environment, it is optimal to run the economy hot until supply recovers. Positive output gaps in the low-supply phase lessen the negative output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172115
The paper extends previous analysis of closed-economy inflation targeting to a small open economy with forward-looking aggregate supply and demand with some microfoundations, and with stylized realistic lags in the different transmission channels for monetary policy. The paper compares targeting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471032
This paper is part of a broader project that provides a microfoundation to the General Theory of J.M. Keynes. I call this project 'old Keynesian economics' to distinguish it from new-Keynesian economics, a theory that is based on the idea that to make sense of Keynes we must assume that prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465244
An aggregate demand - aggregate supply framework is used to analyze the effects of Japanese monetary policy, 1973:1-1990:8. It is found that money supply shocks contribute relatively little to output variability over the sample as a whole. Nor do these shocks seem to be particularly marked...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475174
We characterize the entire set of linear equilibria of beauty contest games under general information structures. In particular, we focus on equilibria in which sentiments, that is self-fulfilling changes in beliefs that are orthogonal to fundamentals and exogenous noise, can drive aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455545
We construct a model to capture the Keynesian idea that production and employment decisions are based on expectations of aggregate demand driven by sentiments, and that realized demand follows from the production and employment decisions of firms. We cast the Keynesian idea into a simple model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459783
periods of falling output and rising price-wage ratios, consistent with a supply shock in our model. We also show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471092
Supply shocks played an important role in macroeconomic fluctuations during the 1970's. Supply shocks are also increasingly important in Keynesian and neo-classical models of the business cycle. This paper is a short survey of these theoretical models. It also discusses the history of supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476923
This paper surveys the research in the past decade on imperfect information models of aggregate supply and the Phillips curve. This new work has emphasized that information is dispersed and disseminates slowly across a population of agents who strategically interact in their use of information....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462878
well-known "supply-shock" explanation attributes both spikes to large food and energy shocks plus, in the case of 1973 … policy and (b) pointed to the far smaller impacts of more recent oil shocks as evidence against the supply-shock explanation …, and new econometric studies that have accumulated over the past quarter century. We find that the classic supply-shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464085