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Bernanke (2005) hypothesized that a "global savings glut" was causing large trade imbalances. However, we show that the … global savings rates did not show a robust upward trend during the relevant period. Moreover, if there had been a global … savings glut there should have been a large investment boom in the countries that imported capital. Instead, those countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462896
China's high corporate savings rate is commonly claimed to be a key driver for the country's large current account … surplus. The mainstream explanation for high corporate savings is a combination of windfall profits in state-owned firms … doubt on these views by comparing the savings of 1557 Chinese listed firms with those of 29330 listed firms from 51 other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462224
Given the rapidly growing reserves in Asia (China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan) and the pressures from trading partners to …, and that changes in trade flows can be substantial. Different treatments of China's processing trade have small impact on … changes in China's trade flow under RMB appreciation, but significant impacts on the change in the surplus. Results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465061
translates employment, reapplication and savings decisions into revealed preferences for leisure and consumption. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455215
We use a forty-two country model of production and trade to assess the implications of eliminating current account imbalances for relative wages, relative GDP's, real wages, and real absorption. How much relative GDP's need to change depends on flexibility of two forms: factor mobility and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464800
Large savings and current account surpluses by China and other countries are said to be a contributor to the global … current account imbalances and possibly to the recent global financial crisis. This paper proposes a theory of excess savings … show conditions under which an intensified competition in the marriage market can induce men to raise their savings rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462653
This paper examines the effect of exogenous shocks to savings on world capital markets. Using the exogenous shocks to … US tax policy identified by Romer & Romer, we trace the impact of an exogenous shock to savings through the income … changes in private savings (Ricardian equivalence is not complete). We also find that only a small amount of the resulting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463537
rate. So a rise will be driven by higher household savings of the coming years as the two primary forces that depressed … savings in recent years are reversed: the exceptionally rapid rise in household wealth and the high level of mortgage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464697
We study the evolution of the U.S. current account in a two-country dynamic stochastic endowment model in which a single non-state contingent bond is the only internationally traded asset. The paper focuses on the world `saving glut' as the primary cause of continual deterioration in the current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465076
We investigate the role of budget balances, financial development and openness, in the evolution of global imbalances. Financial development -- or the lack thereof -- has received considerable attention as a possible contributing factor to the development of persistent and expanding current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465286