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In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle' that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469490
Two observations suggest that financial globalization played an important role in the recent financial crisis. First …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463217
with the local market is 30 times larger than its covariance with the world market, liberalization reduces the systematic … risk associated with holding investible securities. Consistent with this fact: 1) the average effect of the reduction in … systematic risk is 3.4 percentage points, or roughly one third of the total effect; and 2) variation in the firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469726
Using the "trilemma indexes" developed by Aizenman et al. (2008) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma--monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness--we examine how policy configurations affect macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774
Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived by households affects their spending decisions. We use randomized information treatments that provide different types of information about the first and/or second moments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496179
unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk-free rate, equity premium, price …-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk-free rate and price-dividend ratio are … procyclical while the market return has countercyclical mean and variance. Finally, household consumption risk explains the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458555
growth and real exchange rate changes, a key measure of international risk-sharing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461368
growth volatility, suggesting improved risk sharing. Our results are weaker for liberalizing emerging markets but we never …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468133
Emerging markets business cycle models treat default risk as part of an exogenous interest rate on working capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461507
We study the interrelationship between capital flows, returns, dividend yields and world interest rates in 20 emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471570