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We argue that a chronic US current account deficit is an integral and sustainable feature of a successful international monetary system. The US deficit supplies international collateral to the periphery. International collateral in turn supports two-way trade in financial assets that liberates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467963
interest. This image of the current system as Bretton Woods reborn also overlooks how the world has changed since the 1960s … resembling the Bretton Woods System, it is not long for this world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468196
This paper explores the consequences of extremely low equilibrium real interest rates in a world with integrated but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456999
We provide an overview of the recent developments of the literature on the determinants of long term capital flows, global imbalances and valuation effects. We present the main stylized facts of the new international financial landscape in which external balance sheets of countries have grown in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459422
This paper develops a dynamic framework in which macroeconomic liberalization and stabilization measures of the type recently seen in Latin America can be studied. The model is sufficiently general to cover both polar cases of a closed capital account and free private capital mobility, so the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477560
How does financial integration impact capital accumulation, current-account dynamics, and cross-country inequality? We investigate this question within a two-country, general-equilibrium, incomplete-markets model that focuses on the importance of idiosyncratic entrepreneurial risk-- a risk that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461896
Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed countries over 140 years (1870-2008). We exploit our long-run dataset in a number of different ways. First, we apply new statistical tools to describe the temporal and spatial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462090
China's high corporate savings rate is commonly claimed to be a key driver for the country's large current account surplus. The mainstream explanation for high corporate savings is a combination of windfall profits in state-owned firms, especially in resource sectors, and mis-governance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462224
The global imbalance explanation of the financial crisis of 2007-09 suggests that demand for riskless assets from countries with current account surpluses created fragility in countries with current account deficits, most notably, in the United States. We examine this explanation by analyzing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462576
Large savings and current account surpluses by China and other countries are said to be a contributor to the global current account imbalances and possibly to the recent global financial crisis. This paper proposes a theory of excess savings based on a major, albeit insufficiently recognized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462653