Showing 1 - 10 of 9,267
a simple extension of the long-run risk model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480268
The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476685
place greater weight on downside risk demand additional compensation for holding stocks with high sensitivities to downside … market movements. We show that the cross-section of stock returns reflects a premium for downside risk. Specifically, stocks … that covary strongly with the market when the market declines have high average returns. We estimate that the downside risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466847
A key criticism of the existing empirical literature on the risk-return relation relates to the relatively small amount …, measures of conditional mean and conditional volatility--and ultimately the risk-return relation itself--will be misspecified … that three new factors, a "volatility," "risk premium," and "real" factor, contain important information about one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467202
Stocks with greater downside risk, which is measured by higher correlations conditional on downside moves of the market … of return on stocks with the greatest downside risk exceeds the average rate of return on stocks with the least downside … risk by 6.55% per annum. Downside risk is important for explaining the cross-section of expected returns. In particular of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470072
power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price … estimates that are of the same sign and similar in magnitude. Positive exposure to capital share risk earns a positive risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457922
We calculate the socially optimal level of illiquidity in an economy populated by households with taste shocks and present bias (Amador, Werning, and Angeletos 2006). The government chooses mandatory contributions to respective spending/savings accounts, each with a different pre-retirement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481314
Typical value-at-risk (VAR) calculations involve the probabilities of extreme dollar losses, based on the statistical … VAR values that are adjusted for risk aversion, time preferences, and other variations in economic valuation. In the … context of a representative agent equilibrium model, we construct an estimator of the risk-aversion coefficient that is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471198
This paper considers a world in which pension funds may default, the cost of the associated risk of default is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478172
adjusted to take account of future asset price risk. Some empirical calculations suggest that these adjustments are large, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478211