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This paper explores the potential impacts on both China and other major countries of possible mega trade deals. These include the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), and various blocked deals. We use a numerical 13-country global general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458242
FTA bilateral and regional negotiations in Asia have developed quickly in the past decade moving Asia ever closer to an … another. For countries in Asia there is negotiation of a China-Japan-Korea agreement, a China-India agreement, a Trans … potential full Asia integration in the form of a trade bloc. Our results reveal that these large Asia economies can be close to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458243
This paper argues that if policymakers seek to enhance global liquidity, then the international community must provide a higher and better coordinated level of fiscal support than it has in the past. Loans to troubled sovereigns or financial institutions imply a credit risk that ultimately must...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461279
What precisely were the causes and consequences of the trade wars in the 1930s? Were there perhaps deeper forces at work in reorienting global trade prior to the outbreak of World War II? And what lessons may this particular historical episode provide for the present day? To answer these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479779
Currency crises tend to be regional; they affect countries in geographic proximity. This suggests that patterns of international trade are important in understanding how currency crises spread, above and beyond any macroeconomic phenomena. We provide empirical support for this hypothesis. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472007
This paper investigates the theory and evidence that history plays a role in shaping the direction of international trade. Because there are reasons to anticipate a positive correlation between the predominant direction of trade flows in the past and membership in preferential arrangements in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473283
This paper reviews the literature on governments' motivations for negotiating and joining international trade agreements. I discuss both normative explanations for trade agreements and explanations based on political-economy concerns. Most of the paper focuses on the purpose of multilateral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456604
Regional trade in South America since independence has long been much smaller than would be expected if geography were the only constraint on trade. Several potential explanations exist: low technological and demand complementarities; low productivity; high natural and policy barriers to trade....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457876
Recent trends suggest the world economy may be tending towards an equilibrium with two distinct trading blocs, each internally integrated, but with significant isolation between the blocs. This paper uses a quantitative theory to explore how far this bifurcation would need to go to pose a threat...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322792
We construct a dynamic general equilibrium model of foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign technology adoption, incorporating adoption barriers, international technology spillover, and relative price advantages. A higher FDI conversion efficacy, a lower adoption barrier, or a stronger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250176