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This note lays out the basic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model of contagion, with a target audience of economists who want a framework for understanding the effects of social distancing and containment policies on the evolution of contagion and interactions with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482082
studies the impact of air pollution on pandemic mortality. The analysis combines a panel dataset on infant and all …-age mortality with a novel measure of air pollution based on the burning of coal in a large sample of U.S. cities. We estimate that … air pollution contributed significantly to pandemic mortality. Cities that used more coal experienced tens of thousands of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457034
how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322749
"Is inequality largely the result of the Industrial Revolution? Or, were pre-industrial incomes and life expectancies as unequal as they are today? For want of sufficient data, these questions have not yet been answered. This paper infers inequality for 14 ancient, pre-industrial societies using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010521497
As growing numbers of retirees reach retirement age with substantial balances in self-directed retirement plans, annuities are likely to become increasingly important instruments for drawing down retirement savings. This study explores recent trends in the pricing of single-premium annuity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470938
The 1998 Survey of Consumer Finances provides information on household wealth ownership that can be used to estimate the effect of changing the Unified Estate and Gift Tax Credit on estate tax revenues. The survey also includes data on the prices at which assets were purchased, along with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470939
in the past two decades, the most recent in 1995-96. We find that mortality rates for the very young and the elderly … increase or decline less rapidly in crisis years as compared with non-crisis years. In late 1995-96 crisis, mortality rates … 0.4 percent increase in mortality for the elderly and a 0.06 percent increase in mortality for the very young. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471004
an individual accounts retirement program. I first estimate mortality differentials by gender, race, ethnicity and level … of education using the National Longitudinal Mortality Study and document substantial differences. I then use these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471215
The objective of this paper is to find the quantitative importance of some predictors of mortality among the population … including a history of heart attack or cancer, and subjective probabilities of survival. The estimation is based on mortality …-economic indicators and mortality declines with age 13 health indicators are strong predictors of mortality and that the subjective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471342
Child injury mortality rates have declined steadily over time and across causes of death. This paper investigates … Mortality Detail Files on the number of child deaths by age, cause, and state and combine this information with data from the … producing health. These results provide a first effort in understanding the dramatic reduction in child injury mortality. They …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471584