Showing 1 - 10 of 708
We study how uncertainty propagates through production networks. First, we construct a highly disaggregated, forward-looking measure of industry-level uncertainty using option-implied volatility data for U.S. firms. Second, we identify the effects of higher uncertainty within industries, across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015421904
We develop a dynamic macroeconomic model in which the secular decline in real interest rates arises endogenously from rising wealth inequality. Challenging the standard "safe asset shortage" hypothesis, the model shows how falling real rates can coexist with a stable safe asset ratio--closely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015438241
standard methodology for valuing litigation risk. This paper proposes a dynamic real options framework for the valuation of … valuation. This approach offers a novel risk management and valuation tool for a range of stakeholders, including investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409820
. Unexpected arrivals elevate extreme-weather risk, which leads households and firms to adapt and thereby lowering the damage of … each subsequent arrival. Our approach provides country-specific estimates of disaster risk as extreme-weather events unfold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409856
This chapter studies how incomplete information helps accommodate frictions in coordination, leading to novel insights on the joint determination of expectations and macroeconomic outcomes. We review and synthesize recent work on global games, beauty contests, and their applications. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456378
risk, a value that GNI fails to capture. In this paper we use findings from that literature to generate an estimate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456538
Higher-beta and higher-volatility equities do not earn commensurately higher returns, a pattern known as the risk … anomaly. In this paper, we consider the possibility that the risk anomaly represents mispricing and develop its implications … for corporate leverage. The risk anomaly generates a simple tradeoff theory: At zero leverage, the overall cost of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456558
The extraordinary events surrounding the Great Recession have cast a considerable doubt on the traditional sources of macroeconomic instability. In their place, economists have singled out financial and uncertainty shocks as potentially important drivers of economic fluctuations. Empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456616
(self-protection) or size (self-insurance) of a loss. However, in the case of liability risk, especially physician responses … to malpractice risk, most empirical analyses have focused exclusively on measuring self-protection. This paper studies … larger in areas with higher liability risk, where physicians would have greater incentive to insure against financial risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456643
In Merton (1987), idiosyncratic risk is priced in equilibrium as a consequence of incomplete diversification. We modify … results in a state-dependent idiosyncratic risk premium that is higher when average idiosyncratic volatility is low, and vice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456657