Benzell, Seth G.; Kotlikoff, Laurence J.; Kazakova, Marija - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
demographic and IMF fiscal data. Productivity growth and its interaction with demographic change are the main drivers of future … productivity growth using each region's long-term record, predict China and India becoming the world's top two economic hegemons … findings are, however, highly sensitive to productivity growth. If productivity growth continues at each region's very recent …