Showing 1 - 10 of 1,915
Capitalism since its inception has been marked by large fluctuations. The resulting episodic unemployment has been very costly. This paper provides an overview of alternative theories. Standard models (such as DSGE) have not provided insights into the causes of the fluctuations and the shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015171621
Using a century of data, we show that Treasury convenience yield and inflation comove positively during the … inflationary 1970s-1980s, but negatively pre-WWII and post-2000. An inflation decomposition reveals that higher supply inflation … predicts higher convenience, while lower demand inflation follows higher convenience. In our model, inflationary cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056207
We analyze the impact of fiscal and monetary stimulus in an economy with mortgage debt, where inflation redistributes … inflation, increasing consumption demand and house prices. The power of fiscal stimulus grows when borrowers are more indebted …. We then show quantitatively that transfers followed by easy monetary policy cause a surge in inflation which helps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576602
) stabilize financial conditions beyond their direct effect on output and inflation gaps, even though stable financial conditions … targeting could have reduced the variance of the output gap, inflation, and interest rates by 36%, 2%, and 6%, respectively, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145157
We propose a model where monetary policy is the key determinant of aggregate asset prices (financial conditions). Spending decisions are made by a group of agents ("households") that respond to aggregate asset prices, but with noise, delays, and inertia. Asset pricing is determined by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334351
We introduce FDIF, a measure of Fed communication surprise based on the text of FOMC statements. FDIF measures the difference between text-implied and actual values of key market variables. Positive FDIF of countercyclical variables (e.g., credit spreads) is associated with negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334428
to stabilize inflation. Yet, market forces are likely to generate such inflows. Optimal capital flow management instead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462700
We study the transmission of monetary policy through bank securities portfolios using granular supervisory data on U.S. bank securities, hedging positions, and corporate credit. Banks that experienced larger losses on their securities during the 2022-2023 monetary tightening cycle extended less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544727
inflation expectations and permanently lowers the long-run inflation target in response to expansionary shocks, even when shocks … expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms' real … shocks and higher investment in response to government spending. Sticky discount rates imply that inflation has real effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512092
This article summarizes empirical research on the interaction between monetary policy and asset markets, and reviews our previous theoretical work that captures these interactions. We present a concise model in which monetary policy impacts the aggregate asset price, which in turn influences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468253