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Voting on a Trade Agreement : Firm Networks and Attitudes Toward Openness
Van Patten, Diana; Méndez, Esteban - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We exploit a natural experiment to study the extent to which popular attitudes toward trade are driven by economic fundamentals. In 2007, Costa Rica put a free trade agreement (FTA) to a national referendum. With a single question on the ballot, 59% of Costa Rican adult citizens cast a vote on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210086
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Horses for Courses : Measuring Foreign Supply Chain Exposure
Baldwin, Richard E.; Freeman, Rebecca; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
Perceptions of global supply chains (GSCs) have shifted in recent years from a positive to a more cautious view. Standard GSC measures have mostly not adapted to this change as they focus on participation in, rather than exposure to, foreign supply chains. This paper presents the tools necessary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388881
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FDI Inflows and Domestic Firms : Adjustments to New Export Opportunities
McCaig, Brian; Pavcnik, Nina; Wong, Woan Foong - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
exports from Vietnam. Tariff reductions led to entry of foreign and private firms and to employment expansion in formal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477221
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An Import(ant) Price of Brexit Uncertainty
Graziano, Alejandro G.; Handley, Kyle; Limão, Nuno - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We estimate the impact of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on CES import price indices, focusing on the implications of Britain's exit from the European Union (Brexit). Our analysis reveals that an increase in the probability of Brexit increases U.K. import price indices by raising the prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337833
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Supply Chain Adjustments to Tariff Shocks : Evidence from Firm Trade Linkages in the 2018-2019 U.S. Trade War
Handley, Kyle; Kamal, Fariha; Monarch, Ryan - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
exports. Using confidential firm-trade linked data, we show that the decline in imports of tariffed goods was driven by … firms to their exported products. We find that the most exposed products had lower exports in 2018-2019, with most of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337835
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Firm Export Dynamics in Interdependent Markets
Alfaro-Urena, Alonso; Castro-Vincenzi, Juanma; Fanelli, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
significantly more exports than in the absence of complementarities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337843
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Trade War and Peace : U.S.-China Trade and Tariff Risk from 2015–2050
Alessandria, George A.; Khan, Shafaat Yar; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We use the dynamics of U.S. imports across goods in the period around the U.S.-China trade war with a model of exporter dynamics to estimate the dynamic path of the probability of transiting between Normal Trade Relations and a trade war state. We find (i) there was no increase in the likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486241
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EXIM's Exit : The Real Effects of Trade Financing by Export Credit Agencies
Kabir, Poorya; Matray, Adrien; Mueller, Karsten; Xu, Chenzi - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
reduction in exports. Firms affected by the shutdown were unable to make up for the loss of trade financing, especially if they … exports at the firm level aggregate up to lower total exports for industries most reliant on EXIM support. These findings … suggest that government policies aimed at providing trade financing can boost exports and firm growth even in countries with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468219
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Trade Barriers and Market Power : Evidence from Argentina's Discretionary Import Restrictions
Atkin, David; Blaum, Joaquin; Fajgelbaum, Pablo D.; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Countries are increasingly turning to non-tariff barriers that are hard to measure and often illegal under WTO rules. What are the impacts of these policies, and what do they reveal about market power in international trade? We study a comprehensive system of discretionary import licenses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468237
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Winners and Losers from the U.S.-China Trade War
Dang, Alicia H.; Krishna, Kala; Zhao, Yingyan - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
: countries with a greater revealed comparative advantage in a product benefit (in terms of exports to the U.S.) more from U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437053