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Previous research finds correlation between sentiment and future economic growth, but disagrees on the channel that … affecting productivity. By contrast, sentiment shocks in non-G7 countries predict prolonged economic growth and a corresponding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247952
Many central banks whose exchange rate regimes are classified as flexible are reluctant to let the exchange rate fluctuate. This phenomenon is known as "fear of floating". We present a simple theory in which fear of floating emerges as an optimal policy outcome. The key feature of the model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537789
(increase) world interest rates but also to increase (reduce) private leverage. This in turn increased (decreased) volatility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056133
illustrates how China's gradual policy reforms, amidst highly imperfect financial markets, have effectively helped spur GDP growth … throughout its macroeconomic evolution. We highlight the tradeoffs between accelerating GDP growth and safeguarding China's long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322782
We build a two-country general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of cross-border data flows and pre-existing development gaps in data economies on each country's production and international trade. Raw data as byproducts of consumption can be transformed into various types of working data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322803
, increasing the volatility of capital flows to emerging markets. Benchmark-driven investments, namely passive funds, appear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250161
This paper shows that the ancestry composition shaped by century-long immigration to the US can explain the current structure of global supply chain networks. Using an instrumental variable strategy, combined with a novel dataset that links firm-to-firm global supply chain information with a US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250174
demand for financial assets outpaced the growth in their supply. We argue that this phenomenon was driven by: (i) faster … growth in emerging markets, (ii) changes in the financial structure of both emerging and advanced economies, and (iii …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537726
Global liquidity refers to the volumes of financial flows - largely intermediated through global banks and non-bank financial institutions - that can move at relatively high frequencies across borders. The amplitude of responses to global conditions like risk sentiment, discussed in the context...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322743
: advanced economy credit risk, equity market volatility, funding conditions, and currency dynamics. The index exhibits risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437038