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This paper investigates the precision of conventional and unconventional estimates of the natural rate of unemployment … series for unemployment and inflation, including additional supply shift variables in the Phillips curve, using monthly or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473382
institutional settings where a policy variable (such as weekly unemployment benefits) is determined by an observed but potentially … unemployment insurance benefits on the duration of joblessness in Austria, where the benefit schedule has kinks at the minimum and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460096
This paper reviews a set of recent studies that have attempted to measure the causal effect of education on labor market earnings by using institutional features of the supply side of the education system as exogenous determinants of schooling outcomes. A simple theoretical model that highlights...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470981
In this paper we provide an analytical review of previous estimates of the rate of return on schooling investments and measure how these estimates vary by country, over time, and by estimation method. We find evidence reporting (or file drawer') bias in the estimates and, after due account is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471319
Our two related goals in this paper are the following: Firstly and mainly, we want to examine the effects of major changes in modelling strategy and econometric methodology, over the past twenty years, on estimation of firm-level investment equations using panel data. Secondly, we try to assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471345
A well known result is that the Gaussian log-likelihood can be expressed as the sum over different frequency components. This implies that the likelihood ratio statistic has a similar linear decomposition. We exploit these observations to devise diagnostic methods that are useful for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471773
We study regressions with period and group fixed effects and several treatment variables. Under a parallel trends assumption, the coefficient on each treatment identifies the sum of two terms. The first term is a weighted sum of the effect of that treatment in each group and period, with weights...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938703
This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization using estimates of illness probabilities in clinical choice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660036
This paper uses administrative tax data to estimate top wealth in the United States. We assemble new data that links people to their sources of capital income and develop new methods to estimate the degree of return heterogeneity within asset classes. Disaggregated fixed income data reveal that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660052
to be reliable. We then show that an estimator that's unbiased given a population first-stage sign restriction has bias …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660095