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We propose a novel measure of bond market liquidity that does not depend on transaction data: the strength of the cross … portfolio holdings to be at a given point in time. The perceived liquidity of speculative grade and Rule 144A bonds is … significantly lower than investment grade bonds in the cross section and deteriorated significantly following the 2008-9 financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481676
We analyze the effect of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy on EME sovereign and corporate bond markets by … focusing on two dimensions: the evolution of the structure (size and currency composition) of the bond markets and their … allocations within the bond portfolios of US investors. Global factors, particularly the level of long-term US Treasury yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455054
Price-based liquidity metrics are better in 2013-2014 for small trades and large high-yield bond trades, but not for … large investment grade bond trades, relative to before the crisis, and are better for all bond types and trade sizes …-crisis liquidity could be low when markets are stressed. We consider three stress events: extreme VIX increases, extreme bond yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455364
I propose an implementation of the q-theory of investment using bond prices instead of equity prices. Credit risk makes … corporate bond prices sensitive to future asset values, and q can be inferred from bond prices. The bond market's q performs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466202
We examine whether there is a flight-to-liquidity premium in Treasury bond prices by comparing them with prices of … bonds issued by Refcorp, a U.S. Government agency, which are guaranteed by the Treasury. We find a large liquidity premium … in Treasury bonds, which can be more than fifteen percent of the value of some Treasury bonds. This liquidity premium is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469394
important factor contributing to the credit cycle. This paper presents a detailed study of this phenomenon in the corporate bond … market. We show that insurance companies, the largest institutional holders of corporate bonds, reach for yield in choosing … their investments. Consistent with lower rated bonds bearing higher capital requirement, insurance firms' prefer to hold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459752
From a macroeconomic perspective, the short-term interest rate is a policy instrument under the direct control of the central bank. From a finance perspective, long rates are risk-adjusted averages of expected future short rates. Thus, as illustrated by much recent research, a joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467596
This paper uses the factor augmented regression framework to analyze the relation between bond excess returns and the … statistically significant predictive power for excess bond returns. We show how a bias correction to the parameter estimates of … real activity for excess bond returns is robust even after accounting for finite sample inference problems. Forecasts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463461
This paper analyzes the performance of the commercial mortgage-backed security (CMBS) market before and during the recent financial crisis. Using a comprehensive sample of CMBS deals from 1996 to 2008, we show that (unlike the residential mortgage market) the loans underlying CMBS did not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462449
We document capital misallocation in the U.S. investment-grade (IG) corporate bond market, driven by quantitative … easing (QE). Prospective fallen angels -- risky firms just above the IG rating cutoff -- enjoyed subsidized bond financing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938746