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We propose a novel mechanism, "financial dampening," whereby loan retrenchment by banks attenuates the effectiveness of monetary policy. The theory unifies an endogenous supply of illiquid local loans and risk-sharing among subsidiaries of bank holding companies (BHCs). We derive an IV-strategy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456534
According to the standard model, advertising is remarkably sensitive to profit margins. Firms advertise to stimulate …-and-matching map a decline in wages to higher unemployment. But a rise in profit margins should expand advertising by a lot. Really a … lot. Advertising should be highly countercyclical. Instead, it is somewhat procyclical. The ratio of advertising spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460290
This paper builds on Froot and Stein (1998) in developing a framework for analyzing the risk allocation, capital budgeting, and capital structure decisions facing insurers and reinsurers. The model incorporates three key features: i) value-maximizing insurers and reinsurers face product-market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468510
This paper discusses new challenges we face with terrorism as a catastrophic risk by focusing on risk assessment, risk management as well as risk financing issues. The special characteristics of terrorism compared with major natural hazards call for the development of public-private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468515
This paper analyzes dynamic equilibrium risk sharing contracts between profit-maximizing intermediaries and a large pool of ex-ante identical agents that face idiosyncratic income uncertainty that makes them heterogeneous ex-post. In any given period, after having observed her income, the agent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468559
Liquidity risk in banking has been attributed to transactions deposits and their potential to spark runs or panics. We show instead that transactions deposits help banks hedge liquidity risk from unused loan commitments. Bank stock-return volatility increases with unused commitments, but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466434
Over the last twenty years, the consensus view of systemic risk in the financial system that emerged in response to the banking crises of the 1930s and before has lost much of its relevance. This view held that the main systemic problem is runs on solvent banks leading to bank panics. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467237
We employ a unique hand-collected dataset and a novel methodology to examine systemic risk before and after the largest U.S. banking crisis of the 20th century. Our systemic risk measure captures both the credit risk of an individual bank as well as a bank's position in the network. We construct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481052
We study the output costs of 40 systemic banking crises since 1980. Most, but not all, crises in our sample coincide with a sharp contraction in output from which it took several years to recover. Our main findings are as follows. First, the current financial crisis is unlike any others in terms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463271
We analyze a financial collapse, such as the one which occurred during the Great Depression, from the perspective of a monetary model with multiple equilibria. The economy we consider contains financial fragility due to increasing returns to scale in the intermediation process. Intermediaries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472720