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Concerns about the quality of China's official GDP statistics have been a perennial question in understanding its economic dynamics. We use data on satellite-recorded nighttime lights as an independent benchmark for comparing various published indicators of the state of the Chinese economy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455358
Nighttime lights data are a measure of economic activity whose error is plausibly independent of the measurement errors of most conventional indicators. Therefore, we can use nighttime lights as an independent benchmark to assess existing measures of economic activity (Pinkovskiy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456459
It is widely believed that correlations between international equity markets tend to increase in highly volatile bear markets. This has led some to doubt the benefits of international diversification. This article solves the dynamic portfolio choice problem of a US investor faced with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471745
-of-sample volatility of optimized portfolios from each model. A few factors capture the general covariance structure but adding more … factors does not improve forecast power. Portfolio optimization helps for risk control, but the different covariance models …We evaluate the performance of different models for the covariance structure of stock returns, focusing on their use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471761
The covariance of asset returns with economic states of the world is a fundamental input to asset pricing models. Using … about covariance between the S&P index and macro-economic factors. We find evidence that life-experience was a significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191044
Using a large survey panel that connects household shopping behavior with individual health information, this paper documents correlations between self reported depression and the size and composition of shopping baskets. First, we find that roughly 16% of individuals report suffering from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696371
Fama(1984) analyzed the variability and the covariation of risk premiums and expected rates of depreciation. We employ three statistical techniques that do not suffer from a potential bias in Fama's analysis, but we nevertheless confirm his findings. In contrast to his interpretation the results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477330
Data on human height can provide an index that may measure more accurately changes in the standard of living than the more conventional real wage index. Height data, like those on real wages, are relatively abundant and extend back to the seventeenth century. In a previous paper, we developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477633
The fine structure of earnings is defined by a theoretically meaningful decomposition of the covariance matrix of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479100
This paper has two purposes. The first is to develop a methodological framework that can be used to introduce and discuss alternative explanations of the correlation between health and schooling. The second is to test these explanations empirically in order to select the most relevant ones and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479103