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A parsimonious model of shifting policy regimes can simultaneously capture expected and actual US inflation during 1969-2005. Our model features a forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve and purposeful policymakers that can or cannot commit. Private sector learning about policymaker type...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477255
This paper studies the effectiveness of forward guidance when central banks have imperfect credibility. Exploiting … expectations. In our model, the key parameter that aggregates heterogeneous expectations captures the central bank's credibility …, and other major advanced economies have similar levels of credibility (albeit far from full credibility); however, Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421202
In this paper we analyze the operation of the inter-war gold exchange standard to see if the evident credibility of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470290
lack verifiability, needed for credibility. Central banks announce intermediate targets such as exchange rates, so that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470836
may eliminate distortions induced by the lack of credibility of monetary policy. Second, dollarization may weaken …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470919
price stability. The benefits of credibility (private inflation expectations coinciding with the inflation target) are … discussed. Credibility improves the tradeoff between inflation variability, output-gap variability and instrument variability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471258
restrictions on expectations that allow the monetary authority to build credibility for a disinflationary policy by demonstrating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471556
Central bank credibility plays a pivotal role in much of the modern literature on monetary policy, yet it is difficult … important issues: why credibility matters, and how credibility can be built. The central bankers' answers are compared with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471626
We examine a central bank's endogenous choice of degree of control and degree of transparency, under both commitment and discretion. Under commitment, we find that the deliberate choice of sloppy control is far less likely under a standard central-bank loss function than reported for a less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471635
We use the limited participation model of money as a laboratory for studying the operating characteristics of Taylor rules for setting the rate of interest. Rules are evaluated according to their ability to protect the economy from bad outcomes such as the burst of inflation observed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471783