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Keep your Enemies Closer : Strategic Platform Adjustments during U.S. and French Elections
Di Tella, Rafael; Kotti, Randy; Le Pennec-Çaldichoury, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
A key tenet of representative democracy is that politicians' discourse and policies should follow voters' preferences … local elections, 1958-2022. We first show that candidates tend to converge to the center of the ideology and complexity … focusing on elections in which they narrowly win their primary (in the U.S.) or narrowly qualify for the runoff (in France …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322890
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Vanishing Third World Emigrants?
Hatton, Timothy J. - 2009
This paper documents a stylized fact not well appreciated in the literature. The Third World has been undergoing an emigration life cycle since the 1960s, and, except for Africa, emigration rates have been level or even declining since a peak in the late 1980s and the early 1990s. The current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463862
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Leadership and Social Norms : Evidence from the Forty-Eighters in the Civil War
Dippel, Christian - 2018
A growing theoretical literature emphasizes the role that leaders play in shaping beliefs and social norms. We provide empirical evidence for such 'civic leadership.' We focus on the Forty-Eighters, a group of political refugees from Germany's failed 1848 revolutions, and their role in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453064
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Hobbesian Wars and Separation of Powers
Li, Weijia; Roland, Gérard; Xie, Yang - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper formalizes the principle that persecution power of government may generate violent contests over it. We show that this principle yields a large set of theoretical insights on different separation-of-powers institutions that can help to preempt such contests under different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226142
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Why Did Putin Invade Ukraine? A Theory of Degenerate Autocracy
Egorov, Georgij V.; Sonin, Konstantin - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
Many, if not most, personalistic dictatorships end up with a disastrous decision such as Hitler's attack on the Soviet Union, Hirohito's government launching a war against the United States, or Putin's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Even if the decision is not ultimately fatal for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250204
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Persecution and Migrant Self-Selection : Evidence from the Collapse of the Communist Bloc
Abramitzky, Ran; Baseler, Travis; Sin, Isabelle - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
How does persecution affect who migrates? We analyze migrants' self-selection out of the USSR and its satellite states before and after the collapse of Communism using census microdata from the three largest destination countries: Germany, Israel, and the United States. We find that migrants...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334422
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McCarthyism, Media, and Political Repression : Evidence from Hollywood
Tan, Hui Ren; Wang, Tianyi - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We study a far-reaching episode of demagoguery in American history. From the late 1940s to 1950s, anti-communist hysteria led by Senator Joseph McCarthy and others gripped the nation. Hundreds of professionals in Hollywood were accused of having ties with the communist. We show that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635645
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Does Political Ambiguity Pay? Corporate Campaign Contributions and the Rewards to Legislator Reputation
Kroszner, Randall S. - 2000
Do politicians tend to follow a strategy of ambiguity in their policy positions or a strategy of reputational development to reduce uncertainty about where they stand? Ambiguity could allow a legislator to avoid alienating constituents and to play rival interests off against each other to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471301
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Electoral Turnovers
Marx, Benjamin M.; Pons, Vincent; Rollet, Vincent - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
estimate their effects on economic performance, trade, human development, conflict, and democracy. Using a close-elections …In most national elections, voters face a key choice between continuity and change. Electoral turnovers occur when the … universe of presidential and parliamentary elections held since 1945. We document the prevalence of turnovers over time and we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938735
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Representation Failure
Iaryczower, Matias; Montero, Sergio; Kim, Galileu - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
candidates in three Brazilian legislative elections, we quantify the relative value voters place on candidates' policy positions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191060