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Keep your Enemies Closer : Strategic Platform Adjustments during U.S. and French Elections

Di Tella, Rafael; Kotti, Randy; Le Pennec-Çaldichoury, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

A key tenet of representative democracy is that politicians' discourse and policies should follow voters' preferences … local elections, 1958-2022. We first show that candidates tend to converge to the center of the ideology and complexity … focusing on elections in which they narrowly win their primary (in the U.S.) or narrowly qualify for the runoff (in France …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322890

Vanishing Third World Emigrants?

Hatton, Timothy J. - 2009

This paper documents a stylized fact not well appreciated in the literature. The Third World has been undergoing an emigration life cycle since the 1960s, and, except for Africa, emigration rates have been level or even declining since a peak in the late 1980s and the early 1990s. The current...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463862

Persecution and Migrant Self-Selection : Evidence from the Collapse of the Communist Bloc

Abramitzky, Ran; Baseler, Travis; Sin, Isabelle - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

How does persecution affect who migrates? We analyze migrants' self-selection out of the USSR and its satellite states before and after the collapse of Communism using census microdata from the three largest destination countries: Germany, Israel, and the United States. We find that migrants...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334422

Hobbesian Wars and Separation of Powers

Li, Weijia; Roland, Gérard; Xie, Yang - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

This paper formalizes the principle that persecution power of government may generate violent contests over it. We show that this principle yields a large set of theoretical insights on different separation-of-powers institutions that can help to preempt such contests under different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226142

McCarthyism, Media, and Political Repression : Evidence from Hollywood

Tan, Hui Ren; Wang, Tianyi - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

We study a far-reaching episode of demagoguery in American history. From the late 1940s to 1950s, anti-communist hysteria led by Senator Joseph McCarthy and others gripped the nation. Hundreds of professionals in Hollywood were accused of having ties with the communist. We show that these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635645

Why Did Putin Invade Ukraine? A Theory of Degenerate Autocracy

Egorov, Georgij V.; Sonin, Konstantin - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

Many, if not most, personalistic dictatorships end up with a disastrous decision such as Hitler's attack on the Soviet Union, Hirohito's government launching a war against the United States, or Putin's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Even if the decision is not ultimately fatal for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250204

The Effects of Political Advertising on Facebook and Instagram before the 2020 US Election

Allcott, Hunt - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2025

We study the effects of social media political advertising by randomizing subsets of 36,906 Facebook users and 25,925 Instagram users to have political ads removed from their news feeds for six weeks before the 2020 US presidential election. We show that most presidential ads were targeted...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409850

The Performance of Elected Officials : Evidence from State Supreme Courts

Ash, Elliott - 2016

on judge work quality - as measured by citations by later judges. Judges selected by non-partisan elections write higher …-quality opinions than judges selected by partisan elections. Judges selected by technocratic merit commissions write higher …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456603

Partisan Bias in Factual Beliefs about Politics

Bullock, John G. - 2013

Partisanship seems to affect factual beliefs about politics. For example, Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say that the deficit rose during the Clinton administration; Democrats are more likely to say that inflation rose under Reagan. We investigate whether such patterns reflect...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459581

Testing Limits to Policy Reversal : Evidence from Indian Privatizations

Dastidar, Siddhartha G. - 2007

We examine the effect of regime change on privatization using the 2004 election surprise in India. The pro-reform BJP was unexpectedly defeated by a less reformist coalition. Stock prices of government-controlled companies that had been slated for definite privatization by the BJP dropped by 3.5...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465222