Showing 1 - 10 of 707
Are unregulated capital flows excessive during a stagflation episode? We argue that they likely are, owing to a macroeconomic externality operating through the economy's supply side. Inflows raise domestic wages through a wealth effect on labor supply and cause unwelcome upward pressure on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462700
We investigate the resilience of CESEE countries during ECB monetary cycles after the entrance of ten countries to the EU in 2004. Undeniably, these countries have experienced a 'miracle' growth during the 2000s decade. However, several obstacles appeared following the global financial crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072898
Using both the onset of the US-China trade war in 2018 and the most recent Russia-Ukraine war and associated trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576650
This paper shows that China has launched a new global system for cross-border rescue lending to countries in debt … distress. We build the first comprehensive dataset on China's overseas bailouts between 2000 and 2021 and provide new insights … into China's growing role in the global financial system. A key finding is that the global swap line network put in place …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250123
-for-tat responses between just the US and China would likely leave the dollar's role essentially unchanged. If both countries coordinate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322792
our theoretical results to China's 2001 WTO accession, we find that China's tariff reductions exceeded reciprocity norms …, increasing real incomes but amplifying the manufacturing employment dislocation - the China Shock - in the United States and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056161
We study international trade and macroeconomic dynamics triggered by the imposition of sanctions. We begin with a tractable two-country model where Home and Foreign countries have comparative advantages in production of differentiated consumption goods and a commodity (e.g., gas), respectively....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512042
We study international monetary policy spillovers and spillbacks in a tractable two-country Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian model. Relative to Representative Agent (RANK) models, our framework introduces a precautionary-savings channel, as households in both countries face uninsurable income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512099
This paper examines whether prudential policies help to reduce sovereign bond vulnerability to global spillover risk in ASEAN-4 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand). We measure sovereign vulnerability within a risk connectedness network among sovereign bonds. The direct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388833
Identifying exogenous variation in monetary policy is crucial for investigating central bank policy transmission. Using newly-collected archival real-time data utilized by the Central Bank Council of the German Bundesbank, we identify unexpected changes in German monetary policy from 580 policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388841