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("the Fed") targets asset prices to close the output gap. Our model explains several facts, including why the Fed stabilizes … asset price fluctuations driven by financial market shocks ("the Fed put/call"), but destabilizes asset prices in response …). Although the Fed targets asset prices, it "cooperates" with the market to achieve its desired asset price. When the market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334351
Do periods of persistently loose monetary policy increase financial fragility and the likelihood of a financial crisis? This is a central question for policymakers, yet the literature does not provide systematic empirical evidence about this link at the aggregate level. In this paper we fill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226155
We document regime change in the U.S. Treasury market post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC): dealers switched from a net short to a net long position in the Treasury market. We first derive bounds on Treasury yields that account for dealer balance sheet costs, which we call the net short and net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334440
Using text from 200 million pages of 13,000 US local newspapers and machine learning methods, we construct a 170-year-long measure of economic sentiment at the country and state levels, that expands existing measures in both the time series (by more than a century) and the cross-section. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468226
Corporate credit lines are drawn more heavily when funding markets are more stressed. This covariance elevates expected bank funding costs. We show that credit supply is dampened by the associated debt-overhang cost to bank shareholders. Until 2022, this impact was reduced by linking the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226104
Bank-created money, shadow-bank money, and Treasury bonds all satisfy investors' demand for a liquid transaction medium and safe store of value. We measure the quantity of these three forms of liquidity and their corresponding liquidity premium over a sample from 1934 to 2016. We empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210079
. The model and estimation allow for jumps at Fed announcements in investor beliefs, providing granular detail on why …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210100
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … backward looking. If expectations are forward looking, the Fed is right, and inflation will eventually fade without a period of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
We evaluate the decentralized structure of the Federal Reserve System as a mechanism for generating and processing new ideas on monetary policy over the 1960 - 2000 period. We document the introduction of monetarism, rational expectations, credibility, transparency, and other monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437046
reserves targeting under Fed Chairman Paul Volcker from 1979-82. Finally, I discuss the relationship between the federal funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938731