Showing 121 - 130 of 5,263
This paper argues that the collapse of stock prices in October 1929 generated temporary uncertainty about future income which caused consumers to forego purchases of durable and semidurable goods in late 1929 and much of 1930. Evidence that the stock market crash generated uncertainty is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476433
This paper examines the effects of the financial crisis of the 1930s onthe path of aggregate output during that period. Our approach is complementary to that of Friedman and Schwartz, who emphasized the monetary impact of the bank failures; we focus on non-monetary (primarily credit-related)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478049
This paper uses a structural model to show that foreclosures played a crucial role in exacerbating the recent housing bust and to analyze foreclosure mitigation policy. We consider a dynamic search model in which foreclosures freeze the market for non-foreclosures and reduce price and sales...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480160
We employ a unique hand-collected dataset and a novel methodology to examine systemic risk before and after the largest U.S. banking crisis of the 20th century. Our systemic risk measure captures both the credit risk of an individual bank as well as a bank's position in the network. We construct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481052
We study how non-financial multinational companies propagate economic declines from their subsidiaries located in countries experiencing an economic downturn to subsidiaries in countries not experiencing one. We find that investment is 18% lower in subsidiaries of these parents relative to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481177
We analyze how investor expectations about economic growth and stock returns changed during the February-March 2020 stock market crash induced by the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as during the subsequent partial stock market recovery. We surveyed retail investors who are clients of Vanguard at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481854
We estimate a workhorse DSGE model with an occasionally binding borrowing constraint. First, we propose a new specification of the occasionally binding constraint, where the transition between the unconstrained and constrained states is a stochastic function of the leverage level and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481893
US households' consumption and car purchases collapsed during the Great Recession, for reasons that are still poorly … intensive margin contracted sharply in the Great Recession, a finding in stark contrast to conventional wisdom and to the … and wealth shocks are important determinants of consumption choices during the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482176
Although a credit tightening is commonly recognized as a key determinant of the Great Recession, to date, it is unclear … employment decline during the Great Recession would have been less severe if instead of focusing on easing firms' access to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482420
Prior to 2020, the Great Recession was the most important macroeconomic shock to the United States economy in … Recession's official end in the summer of 2009, but because it was slow and the depth of the recession so deep, it took years to … reduce slack in labor markets. But because the slow-and-steady recovery lasted so long, many pre-recession peaks were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482669