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This Chartbook provides a pictorial history, on a country-by-country basis, of public debt and economic crises of various forms. It is a timeline of a country's creditworthiness and financial turmoil. The analysis, narrative, and illustrations in Reinhart and Rogoff (2009), This Time is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462835
experience of Greece, the most extreme manifestation of the puzzling behavior of spreads during Covid. We develop a small open … boom-bust cycle of Greece before Covid and salient observations on macro aggregates, government debt, and the sovereign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468244
This paper uses a data set of over two hundred years of sovereign debt, banking and inflation crises to explore the question of how long it takes a country to "graduate" from the typical pattern of serial crisis that most emerging markets experience. We find that for default and inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462489
We study sovereign external debt crises over the past 200 years, with a focus on creditor losses, or "haircuts". Our sample covers 327 sovereign debt restructurings with external private creditors over 205 default spells since 1815. Creditor losses vary widely (from none to 100%), but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576628
Cyprus, Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, ranging from roughly 0.5% (Ireland) to 43% (Greece) of 2011 output during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481598
Two centuries of Greek debt crises highlight the pitfalls of relying on external financing. Since its independence in 1829, the Greek government has defaulted four times on its external creditors - with striking historical parallels. Each crisis is preceded by a period of heavy borrowing from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457005
Argentina, Chile, Uruguay and Greece. The results suggest that the haircut imposed by Argentina in its 2005 restructuring (75 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457702
, particularly tax-smoothing practices. Focusing on democratic representation and control of corruption, our dynamic political …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447264
Financial repression can be used to avoid a government default when fiscal policy is constrained. We present a model showing that optimal financial repression progresses through successive stages with increasing levels of distortion. Data from advanced economies suggest that the initial stage of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015195041
World capital markets have experienced large scale sovereign defaults on a number of occasions, the most recent being Argentina's default in 2002. In this paper we develop a quantitative model of debt and default in a small open economy. We use this model to match four empirical regularities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467959