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external financing, and bank-level indicators of banking fragility. Credit booms in industrial and emerging economies show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464598
A growing literature shows that credit indicators forecast aggregate real outcomes. While researchers have proposed various explanations, the economic mechanism behind these results remains an open question. In this paper, we show that a simple, frictionless, model explains empirical findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454978
Theory predicts that there is a close link between bank credit supply and the evolution of the business cycle. Yet … fluctuations in bank-loan supply have been hard to quantify in the time-series. While loan issuance falls in recessions, it is not … clear if this is due to demand or supply. We address this question by studying firms' substitution between bank debt and non-bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461266
We build a minimalist model of the macroeconomics of a pandemic, with two essential components. The first is productivity-related: if the virus forces firms to shed labor beyond a certain threshold, productivity suffers. The second component is a credit market imperfection: because lenders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481811
This paper interprets contagion effects as a perceived increase (triggered by events occurring elsewhere) in the volatility of aggregate shocks impinging on the domestic economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model with two types of credit market imperfections: domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472734
In the presence of persistent heterogeneity in capital, debt and total factor productivity, the effects of a financial shock are amplified and propagated through large and long-lived disruptions to the distribution of capital that, in turn, imply large and persistent reductions in aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461346
This paper develops the thesis that credit market frictions may be an important contributor to high unemployment in Europe. When a change in the technological regime necessitates the creation of new firms, this can happen relatively rapidly in the U.S. where credit markets function efficiently....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470798
monetary policy. The theory unifies an endogenous supply of illiquid local loans and risk-sharing among subsidiaries of bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456534
Standard economic theory says that unsecured, high-interest, short-term debt -- such as borrowing via credit cards and … bank overdraft facilities -- helps individuals smooth consumption in the event of transitory income shocks. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480298
Open banking facilitates data sharing consented by customers who generate the data, with a regulatory goal of promoting competition between traditional banks and challenger fintech entrants. We study lending market competition when sharing banks' customer data enables better borrower screening...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482337