precursor to eventual sharp rises in unemployment in that state. The elasticity exceeds unity: a doubling of the rate of home …-ownership in a U.S. state is followed in the long-run by more than a doubling of the later unemployment rate. What mechanism might …

provided unemployment insurance (UI) and loans against pension accounts changes over time in a model where unemployment may … unemployment; and even more so when there is a chance that the loan will not be repaid. As we present the optimal mix of loans and … loans should still be a part of the unemployment package for the young unemployed. We also show that, if the incidence of …

In response to the Great Recession, the availability of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits was extended to an … individual exit from unemployment, and we compare the estimated impact with that for the prior extension of benefits during the … unemployment exit rate and a small increase in the expected duration of unemployment. The effects on exits and duration are …

Empirical models of mortgage default typically find that the influence of unemployment is negligible compared to other … assigns a critical role to unemployment status in the decision to stop payment on a mortgage. We help reconcile this … divergence by employing a novel empirical strategy involving simulated unemployment histories to measure the severity of …

We propose a novel theory of self-fulfilling unemployment fluctuations. According to this theory, a firm hiring an …

periods of high unemployment in the U.S. In every case, the estimated multipliers are below unity. We do find some evidence of …

Many countries have policies aimed at creating jobs in depressed areas with high unemployment rates. In standard … develop a stylized model of frictional local labor markets with the goal of studying the efficiency of unemployment … housing costs, and lower unemployment rates. Although workers can move freely to arbitrage away differences in expected …

is 15 points, which are larger than many estimates of the black-white earnings gap and the gender earnings gap. A small …

This paper asks how well Okun's Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty … the unemployment rate - varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic …