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pandemic recession. We first measure the contribution of temporary layoffs to unemployment dynamics over the period 1979 to the … due to "loss-of-recall", whereby workers in temporary-layoff unemployment lose their job permanently and do so at higher … both temporary-layoff and jobless unemployment. The model captures well pre-pandemic unemployment dynamics and shows how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334353
We document the sources behind the costs of job loss over the business cycle using administrative data from Germany. Losses in annual earnings after displacement are large, persistent, and highly cyclical, nearly doubling in size during downturns. A large part of the long-term earnings losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334381
employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in U.S. history had large spending impacts and small job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361970
Most economists maintain that the labor market in the United States is 'tight' because unemployment rates are low. They …, prior to that, real wages had been stagnant for some time. We show that unemployment is not key to understanding wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361977
more of them are residing with their parents. The unemployment rate at 23-27 year old for the 1996 college graduation … explain two thirds of the rise in unemployment and coresidence between the 2013 and 1996 graduation cohorts. Rising wage … dispersion is also important for the increase in unemployment, while declining parental income, rising student loan balances and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362051
Over 20 percent of prison and jail inmates in the United States are currently awaiting trial, but little is known about the impact of pre-trial detention on defendants. This paper uses the detention tendencies of quasi-randomly assigned bail judges to estimate the causal effects of pre-trial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578513
Wage insurance provides income support to displaced workers who find reemployment at a lower wage. We analyze wage insurance in the context of the U.S. Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) program by merging linked employer-employee Census data to TAA petitions and leveraging a discontinuity in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544742
Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544764
We model a reinsurance mechanism for the national unemployment insurance programs of euro area member states. The risk …-sharing scheme we analyze is designed to smooth country-level unemployment risk and expenditures around each country's median level … of the euro area member states' unemployment expenditures risk in the aftermath of the 2009 sovereign debt crisis if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544675