Showing 1 - 10 of 1,720
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544748
We study the effects of monetary-policy-induced changes in Tobin's q on corporate investment and capital structure. We … evidence, and quantify the relevance for monetary transmission to aggregate investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210051
shocks and higher investment in response to government spending. Sticky discount rates imply that inflation has real effects … expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms' real … discount rates and thereby raise real investment. We analyze the macroeconomic implications of sticky discount rates using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512092
The US and other advanced countries suffered bursts of severe inflation in 2021 and the first half of 2022, followed by … declines of inflation later in 2022, in some countries. In times of high volatility of price determinants--cost and … productivity--inflation can jump upward and fall downward at high speed, contrary to the uniformly sticky behavior associated with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247946
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …, have become relatively more important sources of inflation in many countries. In several countries, including the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544809
The standard measure of core or underlying inflation is the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices. This paper … constructs an alternative measure, the weighted median inflation rate, for 38 advanced and emerging economies using subclass …, and more closely related to headline inflation over the next year. The weighted median also has a drawback: in most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247953
We show that, in a broad class of menu cost models, the dynamics of aggregate inflation in response to arbitrary shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334481
Unemployment is low and inflation is falling, but consumer sentiment remains depressed. This has confounded economists … official inflation are strongly correlated with borrowing costs and consumer credit supply. Concerns over borrowing costs … alternative measures of inflation that include borrowing costs and can account for almost three quarters of the gap in US consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486254