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This paper is about the properties of Markov switching rational expectations (MSRE) models. We present a simple monetary policy model that switches between two regimes with known transition probabilities. The first regime, treated in isolation, has a unique determinate rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466125
explanation for this puzzle is based on prospect theory. Despite its prominence, this explanation has received little formal … scrutiny. We take up this task, and analyze the trading behavior of investors with prospect theory preferences. We find that …, at least for the simplest implementation of prospect theory, the link between these preferences and the disposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466268
This paper examines how to evaluate consumer welfare when consumers face nonlinear prices. This problem arises in many settings, such as devising optimal pricing strategies for firms, assessing how price discrimination affects consumers, and evaluating the efficiency costs of many transfer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466295
between capital spending and cash flows is non-monotonic in the firm's asset tangibility. Our theory allows us to use a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466582
Recent studies consider public R&D spending that affects abatement knowledge and endogenous growth, distortionary taxes that affect physical and human capital formation, pollution taxes that affect environmental degradation, and regeneration that restores natural capital. Our model combines all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466599
We develop a framework for estimating expected returns---a <i>predictive system</i>---that allows predictors to be imperfectly correlated with the conditional expected return. When predictors are imperfect, the estimated expected return depends on past returns in a manner that hinges on the correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464843
The standard regression approach to modeling return predictability seems too restrictive in one way but too lax in another. A predictive regression models expected returns as an exact linear function of a given set of predictors but does not exploit the likely economic property that innovations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465843
Standard practice for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models maintains the assumption that economic variables are properly measured by a single indicator, and that all relevant information for the estimation is summarized by a small number of data series. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465872
While the focus of mainstream economic analysis of liability rules remains on negligence liability, recently some legal scholars have argued for the sharing of liability. In this paper, our first objective is contribute to the debate regarding the desirability of the sharing of liability for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466036
This paper provides a minimalist derivation of the gravity equation and uses it to identify three common errors in the literature, what we call the gold, silver and bronze medal errors. The paper provides estimates of the size of the biases taking the currency union trade effect as an example....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466150