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This paper studies how and why households adjust their spending, saving, and borrowing in response to transitory income shocks. We leverage new large-scale survey data to first quantitatively assess households' intertemporal marginal propensities to consume (MPCs) and deleverage (MPDs) (the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512045
This essay discusses the reasons for and implications of the decline in real interest rates around the world over the past several decades. It suggests that the decline in interest rates is largely explicable from trends in saving, growth, and markups. In this environment, greater government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210052
We develop a unified framework for optimally managing public portfolios for a class of macro-finance models that include widely-used specifications for households' risk and liquidity preferences, market structures for financial assets, and trading frictions. An optimal portfolio hedges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388857
The European Central Bank is unique in setting monetary policy for several sovereign states with heterogeneous debt levels and different maturity structures. The monetary-fiscal nexus is central to the functioning of the euro area. We focus on one particular aspect of that nexus, the effect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537713
The fall in the U.S. public debt/GDP ratio from 106% in 1946 to 23% in 1974 is often attributed to high rates of economic growth. This paper examines the roles of three other factors: primary budget surpluses, surprise inflation, and pegged interest rates before the Fed-Treasury Accord of 1951....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337810
incentive constraints on the policy making process, such as lack of credibility, political opportunism, political ideology, and …: it covers credibility issues, political business cycles, and optimal design of monetary institutions. Part II deals with … fiscal policy in a dynamic general equilibrium set up: the main topics here are credibility of tax policy, and political …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472486
Can the credibility of a stabilization plan affect the output costs of disinflation? The new classical economics has … yield a special credibility bonus? And is the stabilization program sustainable. The answer to both questions is negative …. The idea of a credibility bonus Is an attractive potential policy implication of EMS membership: by joining the EMS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476272
This study quantitatively investigates the currency composition of sovereign debt in the presence of two types of limited enforcement frictions arising from a government's monetary and debt policy: strategic currency debasement and default on sovereign debt. Local currency debt obligations are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453049
more foreign-currency debt. We propose that monetary policy credibility explains the currency composition of sovereign debt … and nominal bond risks in the presence of risk-averse investors. In our model, low credibility governments inflate during … inflation, investors require risk premia on nominal debt, making nominal debt issuance costly for low credibility governments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456087
We propose a continuous time model of nominal debt and investigate the role of inflation credibility in the potential … punishment of default. With high inflation credibility, which can be interpreted as joining a monetary union or issuing foreign … currency debt, debt is effectively real. By contrast, with low inflation credibility, sovereign debt is nominal and in a debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459147