Similar Search Results

Stochastic Components of Individual Consumption : A Time Series Analysis of Grouped Data

Attanasio, Orazio - 2006

In this paper we propose a method to characterize the time series properties of individual consumption, income and interest rates using micro data, as studies in labour economics have characterized the time series properties of hours and earnings. Our approach, however, does not remove aggregate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466208

Predictive Systems : Living with Imperfect Predictors

Pastor, Lubos - 2008

We develop a framework for estimating expected returns---a <i>predictive system</i>---that allows predictors to be imperfectly correlated with the conditional expected return. When predictors are imperfect, the estimated expected return depends on past returns in a manner that hinges on the correlation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464843

Predictive Systems : Living with Imperfect Predictors

Pastor, Lubos - 2007

The standard regression approach to modeling return predictability seems too restrictive in one way but too lax in another. A predictive regression models expected returns as an exact linear function of a given set of predictors but does not exploit the likely economic property that innovations...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465843

Financial Machine Learning

Kelly, Bryan T.; Xiu, Dacheng - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889

Indeterminacy in a Forward Looking Regime Switching Model

Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2006

This paper is about the properties of Markov switching rational expectations (MSRE) models. We present a simple monetary policy model that switches between two regimes with known transition probabilities. The first regime, treated in isolation, has a unique determinate rational expectations...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466125

What Drives the Disposition Effect? An Analysis of a Long-Standing Preference-Based Explanation

Barberis, Nicholas - 2006

explanation for this puzzle is based on prospect theory. Despite its prominence, this explanation has received little formal … scrutiny. We take up this task, and analyze the trading behavior of investors with prospect theory preferences. We find that …, at least for the simplest implementation of prospect theory, the link between these preferences and the disposition …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466268

Evaluating Welfare with Nonlinear Prices

Reiss, Peter C. - 2006

This paper examines how to evaluate consumer welfare when consumers face nonlinear prices. This problem arises in many settings, such as devising optimal pricing strategies for firms, assessing how price discrimination affects consumers, and evaluating the efficiency costs of many transfer...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466295

Financial Constraints, Asset Tangibility, and Corporate Investment

Almeida, Heitor - 2006

between capital spending and cash flows is non-monotonic in the firm's asset tangibility. Our theory allows us to use a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466582

Environmental Investment and Policy with Distortionary Taxes and Endogenous Growth

Fullerton, Don - 2006

Recent studies consider public R&D spending that affects abatement knowledge and endogenous growth, distortionary taxes that affect physical and human capital formation, pollution taxes that affect environmental degradation, and regeneration that restores natural capital. Our model combines all...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466599

Capital Markets and Grain Prices : Assessing the Storage Approach

Keller, Wolfgang - 2018

This paper evaluates an approach popularized by McCloskey and Nash (1984) that exploits the fact that grain prices provide information on interest rates. While the grain price approach enables a comparative analysis of capital market development across pre-modern economies and has been applied...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453326

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