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We show that financial sector bailouts and sovereign credit risk are intimately linked. A bailout benefits the economy …-financial sector to fund the bailout may be inefficient since it weakens its incentive to invest, decreasing growth. Instead, the … sovereign may choose to fund the bailout by diluting existing government bondholders, resulting in a deterioration of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461522
Despite a formal 'no-bailout clause', we estimate significant net present value transfers from the European Union to … recent Eurozone crisis. We propose a model to analyze and understand bailouts in a monetary union, and the large observed … differences across countries. We characterize bailout size and likelihood as a function of the economic fundamentals (economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481598
This paper studies debt fragility and the sharing of the resulting strategic uncertainty through ex post bailouts. Default arises in equilibrium because of both fundamental shocks and beliefs. The probability of default depends on borrowing rates and, in equilibrium, on the beliefs of lenders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460282
We analyze the determinants and the long-run consequences of government interventions in the eurozone banking sector … an econometric approach that addresses the endogeneity associated with governmental bailout decisions in identifying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481392
This paper investigates the impact of credit rating changes on the sovereign spreads in the European Union and investigates the macro and financial factors that account for the time varying effects of a given credit rating change. We find that changes of ratings are informative, economically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459536
Many observers have argued that credit default swaps contributed significantly to the credit crisis. Of particular concern to these observers are that credit default swaps trade in the largely unregulated over-the-counter market as bilateral contracts involving counterparty risk and that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463266
The near-failure on September 16, 2008, of American International Group (AIG) was an iconic moment in the financial crisis. Two large bets on real estate made with funding that was vulnerable to bank-run like behavior on the part of funders pushed AIG to the brink of bankruptcy. AIG used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457558
What makes an asset a "safe asset"? We study a model where two countries each issue sovereign bonds to satisfy investors' safe asset demands. The countries differ in the float of their bonds and their resources/fundamentals available to rollover debts. A sovereign's debt is more likely to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456404
The recent debt crises in Europe and the U.S. states feature similar sharp increases in spreads on government debt but also show important differences. In Europe, the crisis occurred at high government indebtedness levels and had spillovers to the private sector. In the United States, state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457212
primary and secondary market yields, market segmentation, and measures of information acquisition during the Eurozone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334434