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There is growing concern about a decline in the total fertility rate worldwide, but nowhere is the concern greater than … generate incentives for individuals to reduce not just the fertility rate within families, but also the incentive to form … fertility rates. Our results show that the impact of social security on these variables has been non-trivial. Our calibrated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465787
failure that may lead to inefficiently low equilibrium fertility and therefore to a need for government intervention. The …) model with fertility choice and altruism, and model ownership by introducing a minimum constraint on transfers from parents … transfer floor is binding, fertility choices are inefficient. We show how this inefficiency relates to dynamic inefficiency in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462988
fertility. What type of model is consistent with this finding? We explore this question using two models of fertility, the one … them with old age transfers. The effect of increases in government provided pensions on fertility in the Barro and Becker … model is very small, and inconsistent with the empirical findings. The effect on fertility in the Boldrin and Jones model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467539
developing countries. This paper presents a theoretical model which integrates micro-level decision making about fertility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478776
In this paper, we argue that in designing government debt and tax-transfer policies, it is important to consider their implications for the allocation of risk between generations. There is no reason to presume that the market or the family can allocate risk efficiently to future generations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477349
We evaluate several actual and hypothetical sustainable PAYGO pension structures, including: (1) versions of the US Social Security system with annual adjustments of taxes or benefits to maintain fiscal balance; (2) Sweden's Notional Defined Contribution system and several variants developed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463965
This paper examines the risk aspects of a fully phased-in investment-based defined contribution Social Security plan. Individuals save a fraction of wages in a Personal Retirement Account (PRA) invested in a 60:40 equity-debt mix and receive a similarly invested variable annuity from age 67. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471973
This paper studies the macroeconomic and efficiency effects of privatizing social security. It does so by simulating alternative privatization schemes using the Auerbach-Kotlikoff Dynamic Life-Cycle Model. The simulations indicate three things. First, privatizing social security can generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473058
We examine the dynamic interaction of the population age structure, economic dependency, and fertility, paying … particular attention to the role of intergenerational transfers. In the short run, a reduction in fertility produces a … probabilistic fashion. We show that most highly developed countries have fertility below the rate that maximizes steady state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466515
undeveloped steady stare with little human capital, low rates of return on human capital investments and high fertility, and a … developed steady stats with higher rates of return a large, and, perhaps, growing stock of human capital and low fertility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475617