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Using a panel of 21 OECD countries and 40 years of annual data, we find that countries with similar government budget positions tend to have business cycles that fluctuate more closely. That is, fiscal convergence (in the form of persistently similar ratios of government surplus/deficit to GDP)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467098
This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country can affect the GDP of other countries. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output fluctuations. The paper introduces a new specification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470116
This paper evaluates the effects of fiscal policy on investment using a panel of OECD countries. In particular, we … investigate how different types of fiscal policy affect profits and , as a result, investment. We find a sizable negative effect … of public spending -- and in particular of its public wage component -- on business investment. This result is consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471581
Our study aims at assessing the actual importance of the two main channels usually contemplated in the literature through which upstream sector anticompetitive regulations may impact productivity growth: business investments in R&D and in ICT. We thus estimate what are the specific impacts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459134
It is well known that business cycles in OECD countries exhibit a remarkable degree of synchronization. Much less known is that the peak of the OECD cycle is associated with high prices of labour-intensive products and low prices of capital-intensive ones. We document this cyclical behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470962
International risk-sharing has far-reaching implications both for economic policy and for basic research in economics. When countries do not share risk, individuals in those countries experience fluctuations in their consumption levels that are undesirable and possibly unnecessary. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461868
, without leverage constraints on investment, financial integration itself has no implication for international macro co …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462429
This paper analyzes changes in American business cycles over the twentieth century and suggests a possible explanation for the major changes that have and have not occurred. The empirical analysis shows that the volatility of annual real macroeconomic indicators and the average severity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471859
In this paper, we develop an aggregation procedure using time-varying weights for constructing the common component in international economic fluctuations. The methodology for deriving time-varying weights is based on some stylized features of the data documented in the paper. The model allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472834
This paper uses firm-level information to evaluate how crises are transmitted internationally. It constructs a new data set of financial statistics, industry information, geographic data, and stock returns for over 10,000 companies in 46 countries to test what types of firms were most affected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470943