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Starting from Robbins (1952), the literature on experimentation via multi-armed bandits has wed exploration and exploitation. Nonetheless, in many applications, agents' exploration and exploitation need not be intertwined: a policymaker may assess new policies different than the status quo; an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544703
exploration and lower individual and group payoffs. We test our predictions in an online lab experiment and show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544680
We present a theory of choice among lotteries in which the decision maker's attention is drawn to (precisely defined) salient payoffs. This leads the decision maker to a context-dependent representation of lotteries in which true probabilities are replaced by decision weights distorted in favor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462269
We find consistent evidence of negative autocorrelation in decision-making that is unrelated to the merits of the cases considered in three separate high-stakes field settings: refugee asylum court decisions, loan application reviews, and major league baseball umpire pitch calls. The evidence is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026883
The impact of exposure to a major unanticipated natural disaster on the evolution of survivors' attitudes toward risk is examined, exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in exposure to the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami in combination with rich population-representative longitudinal survey data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250120
gambling and to have experienced financial shocks. These results support the general hypothesis that individuals value gains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334460
How does the presence of risk sharing affect sorting patterns on productive attributes when there are complementarities among partners' skills in match output? We develop a matching model in which risk-averse agents, who differ in skills, match pairwise for productive purposes. Match output has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468251
We develop a new approach to identify different categories of depositors during periods of uncertainty and quantify their compensation to remain in the bank. We isolate withdrawals due to liquidity needs, deterioration of fundamentals, and expectation about withdrawal behavior of other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362023
How should theory-based entrepreneurs search for strategies to implement their ideas? The theory-based view of strategy posits that decision-makers hold theories about their environment premised on beliefs that should be actively tested. This causal framework, which underlies the theory-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528358
We use four incentivized representative surveys to study the endowment effect for lotteries in 4,000 U.S. adults. We replicate the standard finding of an endowment effect--the divergence between Willingness to Accept (WTA) and Willingness to Pay (WTP), but document three new findings. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537730