selection, and reduction in drought-related insurance payouts. To do so, we create a novel data set derived from a deep learning … model capable of automatically identifying the location of CPIS during drought years along with annual county level crop … to more water intensive crops, or an expansion of cropland. However, in drought years CPIS presence does have a …

drought, the most damaging natural disaster for crops and food-company cash flows. We show that prolonged drought in a country …, measured by the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) from climate studies, forecasts both declines in profitability ratios and … poor stock returns for food companies in that country. A portfolio short food stocks of countries in drought and long those …

Typical value-at-risk (VAR) calculations involve the probabilities of extreme dollar losses, based on the statistical … VAR values that are adjusted for risk aversion, time preferences, and other variations in economic valuation. In the … context of a representative agent equilibrium model, we construct an estimator of the risk-aversion coefficient that is …

bonds, greater risk-bearing capacity in the U.S. than the rest of the world, and nominal rigidities. A flight to safety … generates a dollar appreciation and decline in global output. Dollar bonds thus command a negative risk premium and the U ….S. holds a levered portfolio of capital financed in dollars. We quantify the effects of safety shocks and heterogeneity in risk …

these rejections are in part a consequence of the presence of omitted risk factors which are associated with nonzero risk … model should partially reflect exposure to these omitted sources of systematic risk and,hence, should help explain expected … residual risk effect in the previous literature:(1) nonlinearity of the residual risk effect and (2) the inadequacy of the …

the seriousness of this type of risk in the current United States situation are presented. Sufficient conditions on the … structure of the economy for such intergenerational risk pooling to be mutually beneficial to all members of society are derived …

banks to pursue safer investments in low-risk government securities …

We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an …